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Nick PedoneAug 26, 2026

Previewing the Browns' preseason finale, Pedone says five receivers — Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace — are very likely to make Cleveland's 53-man roster, leaving one final spot open for Luke Floriea and others.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
60A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Nick Pedone said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.
Nick Pedone, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
5 Browns Players To Watch During Preseason Finale vs Patriots
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 26
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Isaiah Bond to make the roster“Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.”
  2. 2Tylan Wallace to make the roster“Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.”
  3. 3Jerry Jeudy to make the roster“Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.”
  4. 4Denzel Boston to make the roster“Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.”
  5. 5K.C. Concepcion to make the roster“Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Isaiah Bond and Tylan Wallace are very likely to make this roster.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Isaiah Bond to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Tylan Wallace to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Jerry Jeudy to make the roster3Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Denzel Boston to make the roster4Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
K.C. Concepcion to make the roster5Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
5 calls · 5 hits · all settled10060

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Isaiah Bond
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Tylan Wallace
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jerry Jeudy
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    200
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 60

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.