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John McMullenAug 15, 2026

Previewing the Eagles' 2026 preseason opener, McMullen endorses the view that Hollywood Brown's $5 million in guarantees will keep them on the roster despite being outplayed in camp, and says Philadelphia will likely have to reserve a roster spot for international prospect Uar Bernard.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What John McMullen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The conventional wisdom is that $5 million in guarantees will keep Brown safe, and that's probably true.
John McMullen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
5 Players Who Must Show Up In Eagles’ Preseason Opener At Ravens
The original
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  1. SaidAug 14
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Marquise Brown to make the roster“The conventional wisdom is that $5 million in guarantees will keep Brown safe, and that's probably true.”
  2. 2Uar Bernard to make the roster“Complicating matters even further is that the Eagles will also likely have to save a spot on the roster for multiyear international prospect Uar Bernard.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Marquise Brown to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Uar Bernard to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsMarquise BrownPhiladelphia Eagles

    Marquise Brown to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Marquise Brown
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Roster Spot CallsUar BernardPhiladelphia Eagles

    Uar Bernard to make the roster

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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