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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 17, 2025

Gregg predicted the Chiefs would blow out the Raiders 35-14, the Lions would beat the Buccaneers at home, the Rams would beat the Jaguars in London, and expected Jacoby Brissett rather than Kyler Murray to start for Arizona against Green Bay.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · all settled
92.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
47.2A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I mean put up thirty five to fourteen.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 7 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs 35 — Raiders 14“Forget it. Yeah, I mean put up thirty five to fourteen. I apologize to Gino Smith, but I just think this Raiders seems one of the worst teams in the league.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars“I had the Jaguars covering the spread... I have the Rams winning, so I don't feel strong about that game.”
  3. 3Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart“I think it's probably Jacoby Brissett, but Kyler Murray was at practice on Wednesday... it sounded like they would prefer to rest Kyler through the by”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs 35 — Raiders 141Score Predictions—76.1950+43.74
Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars2Game Outcome Picks—1000+167
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+13.92
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · all settled92.147.2

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 92.1 out of 100, against 47.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 35 — Raiders 14

    VerdictClose
    76.19Close · naive 50
    76.19this call50a naive guess26.19better than naive1.67difficulty+43.74skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): Chiefs by 13.5, total 44.5 · this 35–14 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 21) and more points (49).

    How this was scored
    score:
    0-31
    skill:
    43.74
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    21
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.67difficulty+167skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): Rams by 3 · favorite pick, Rams 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    35-7
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsJacoby BrissettArizona Cardinals

    Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1.67difficulty+13.92skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ARI
    skill:
    13.92
    player:
    Jacoby Brissett
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.67
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    92.1naive 47.2

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