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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 28, 2026

After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 5 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 6Settled5 still waiting
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
With Downs wanting out of Indianapolis, let's explore a few potential landing spots for him.
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Josh Downs landing spots after Colts WR reportedly asks out, Indy continues fire sale
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 28
  2. GradedNov 11
  1. 1Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs“Adding another weapon for Mahomes is necessary if the Chiefs want to return to the Super Bowl.”
  2. 2Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots“New England Patriots: Reuniting Drake Maye with his top college wideout makes sense.”
  3. 3Josh Downs to move to Atlanta Falcons“The Falcons could stand to make an addition at wide receiver as they continue this push for the NFC South.”
  4. 4Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams“Los Angeles Rams ... We know Sean McVay loves his tight ends, but adding Downs would help Matthew Stafford and this passing offense.”
  5. 5Josh Downs to sign a new deal with Las Vegas Raiders“also someone who could pick up an extension and stay in the fold long-term. Vegas has really struggled to add receivers in the draft.”
  6. 6Josh Downs to move to Las Vegas Raiders“Downs is not only someone who could come in and contribute immediately for Kirk Cousins, but also someone who could pick up an extension and stay in the fold long-term.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+161
Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots2Trade and Signing Calls————
Josh Downs to move to Atlanta Falcons3Trade and Signing Calls————
Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams4Trade and Signing Calls————
Josh Downs to sign a new deal with Las Vegas Raiders5Contract Calls————
Josh Downs to move to Las Vegas Raiders6Trade and Signing Calls————
6 calls · 1 hit · 5 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 5 trade and signing calls and 1 contract call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsKansas City Chiefs

    Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.61difficulty+161skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    161
    player:
    Josh Downs
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    KC
    was with:
    IND
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → KC
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.61
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsNew England Patriots

    Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsAtlanta Falcons

    Josh Downs to move to Atlanta Falcons

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsLos Angeles Rams

    Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Contract CallsJosh DownsLas Vegas Raiders

    Josh Downs to sign a new deal with Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsLas Vegas Raiders

    Josh Downs to move to Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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