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Tyler DeSena· Aug 18, 2026

DeSena expects Chris Bell to function as Miami's X-receiver, with Caleb Douglas as the deep-threat Z and Malik Washington in the slot, and considers Bell, Douglas, Washington and fifth-round rookie Kevin Coleman locks to make the 53-man roster.

“Bell, Douglas, and Washington, all locks to make the roster, each provide different elements.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kevin Coleman to make the roster

    “Fifth-round rookie Kevin Coleman, a shifty, undersized player with toughness going over the middle, should be a lock.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kevin Coleman
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chris Bell to make the roster

    “Bell, Douglas, and Washington, all locks to make the roster, each provide different elements.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Chris Bell
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Douglas to make the roster

    “Bell, Douglas, and Washington, all locks to make the roster, each provide different elements.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Caleb Douglas
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malik Washington to make the roster

    “Bell, Douglas, and Washington, all locks to make the roster, each provide different elements.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Malik Washington
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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