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Carson Caldwell· Oct 11, 2026

Caldwell predicts the Packers will score 30-plus points and upset the Bears.

“The Packers will hang 30+ in an upset win against the Bears.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Bears

    “That's changes this week. The Packers will hang 30+ in an upset win against the Bears.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.

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