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Chris Broussard· Oct 9, 2026

Broussard picked San Francisco to win in Seattle, said Green Bay will beat Chicago at home, and took the Raiders over the Patriots as his upset-alert selection.

“I am going with the Raiders. The Raiders over New England.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle

    “I'm going to go with San Francisco... I do think Purdy is just different and better than ever.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    178
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, 49ers 40%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Las Vegas Raiders to beat New England

    “I am going with the Raiders. The Raiders over New England. I told you, I'm not fully convinced that Drake is back.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    17-45
    skill:
    −178
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Bears

    “I actually do think Green Bay will win this game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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