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Marcas Grant· Dec 9, 2025

Grant calls Christian Watson the Packers' clear No. 1 receiver and RJ Harvey Denver's lead back, while labeling Mike Gesicki's and Tony Pollard's big weeks mirages to avoid; he also wants no part of Colts pass catchers with Philip Rivers signing. For Week 15 he picks Matthew Stafford as the top quarterback and Puka Nacua among the top receivers.

“I don't care what Mattlinfluor has to say. Christian Watson is the guy in that passing day.”

said on air or in an interview · The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 88.9 out of 100, against 61.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • RJ Harvey to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Sean Payton's decided, hey, we're gonna make RJ. Harvey RB one... Just see more of RJ. Harvey as the lead running back in that Broncos”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-10.17 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    -10.17
    player:
    RJ Harvey
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1.22
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Matt Lafluir has to say he has a number one wide receiver and it is Christian Watson... Christian Watson is the guy in that passing day.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+10.17 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    GB
    skill:
    10.17
    player:
    Christian Watson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1.22
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Stafford to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    “That's Matthew Stafford, who's been the QB two since Week seven, just on an all time heater right now... going against Detroit in the game that I think is going to have a lot of fireworks.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 0+101.67 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    101.67
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    19
    actual finish:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    4
    predicted finish:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

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