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Derek Brown· Nov 7, 2026

Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.

“I think the Packers win. I think the Packers win outright.”

said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Patriots

    “I think the Packers win. I think the Packers win outright.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%.

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  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat Falcons

    “Who do you think wins this game? ... Yeah. Cincinnati.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings

    “So how I'm projecting this game, I think the Bills win.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Breece Hall to move — “could get traded”

    “the Jonathan Taylor of all of this, I think Brees Hall could get traded.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “I don't think DJ Reed plays this week. He hasn't practiced this week with a hip injury. (Week 9, Lions at Dolphins)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “I do think that he plays and I do think the Colts run him out there. (Week 9, Cowboys at Colts)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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