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Spencer German· Oct 30, 2026

He picks the Steelers to edge the Browns in Pittsburgh in Week 8 by a final score of 24-23, saying Cleveland's 22-year regular-season losing streak there continues and the teams split the season series.

“I'll say 24, 23, a one point game. Browns fall short, but put up a great fight.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Browns (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 52.4 out of 100, against 51.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Browns 23

    “So I I think I'm taking the Steelers, but I think it's gonna be a really close game. I'll say 24, 23, a one point game. Browns fall short... the Steelers come out with a win.”

    Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 51.13+2.02 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    2.02
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    51.13
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    1

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5, total 38.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Steelers by 1) and more points (47).

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