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Garrett Podell· Oct 30, 2026

In five bold predictions for Week 8, Podell forecasts Jared Goff shredding Minnesota's undefeated defense for 250-plus yards and three-plus touchdowns as Detroit hands the Vikings their first loss, Tony Pollard topping 120 rushing yards with multiple scores at Cincinnati, Jaylen Warren helping Pittsburgh beat Cleveland, a clean multi-touchdown game from Justin Herbert, and Garrett Wilson going over 100 receiving yards with a touchdown.

“Goff has never played better, and he'll stay locked in to shred the Vikings and hand them their first loss of the season.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Detroit Lions to beat Vikings

    “Goff has never played better, and he'll stay locked in to shred the Vikings and hand them their first loss of the season. (Week 8)”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.

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  • Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “Warren will go off for a career-high 200 yards from scrimmage to even the season series against the Browns at one win apiece. (Week 8)”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.

    Think this is wrong?

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