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17 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →99.1% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
726–750 of 1,028
570 / 1,028
graded
458 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 82.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.6 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 12 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 8.3 accuracy (2 settled)
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the thirty seventh player off the board)
I'll pass... now he's in his thirties. It's just too many things to worry about here.
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
Couldn't agree more with you, guys. I have him wide receiver sixteen here... like this one is easy.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
he is a reluctant draft and the injury risk is absolutely terrifying
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)
I just don't think he has the value of where he's being drafted. So I'm going to pass on him because he's going around the same spot as running backs like Galvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard, James Connor, Tony Pollard
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (seventy five overall)
I'm gonna be a pass here. I'm gonna keep it simple and tell you why, because Rushie Rice needs to drop away further. He's missing six games.
Joe Mixon to outplay his draft cost (post one hundred)
the boys are passing, I'm gonna draft them late. It's got to be post one hundred kind of where Pat's talking about, maybe even more.
Tyreek Hill to outplay his draft cost (almost as the fortieth player)
See, I'm gonna draft him pat and the reason is because he's going almost as the fortieth player.
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (the fifties second player overall RB twenty two)
Well, I don't have to break the tie, but just so you know, I'm drafting him as well. So three for three, that's a clean sweep on RJ. Harvey.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
I'm a pass at seven. Yeah, I was into fourteen. I was curious at twelve, at ten maybe, but at seven, I don't know. I'm out there.
Puka Nacua to outplay his draft cost (seventeen overall)
Pooka and Akouba by the way, sliding all the way to seventeen overall, that's where I'm I'm looking for that discount today in a draft. So I'm going to draft
Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)
Despite Daniel Jones being there, I to him drafting Tyler Warren... I do like the adp of Tyler Warren
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
So I'm comfortable drafting him as the ADP continues to rise all the way up until twenty, maybe even up until fifteen... I think he's this year's Brian Thomas junior
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty four)
the first wide receiver O Lave checks in at like wide receiver thirty four... this is really built around a Lave being too much of a value. So I'm gonna say, draft.
Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)
This is a hard pass. I have absolutely no interest... So I have no interest in Joe Mixon.
Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)
I am a draft of Breece Hall. I actually don't hate the ADP... I actually think in the fourth round, especially full PPR, it's a big check
Travis Kelce to outplay his draft cost (the sixty seventh player, the sixth tight end)
I'll put a ring on it... you have Rice out. He's gonna be a red zone option. He got all the targets in the world. So I will put a ring on it
Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)
if you miss on the top three, you should be targeting Craft or Tyler Warren on the back end of the tight end. So that is a draft.
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (a round fifty one)
So I am a draft on RJ. Harvey... I think the ceiling continues to jump up and up
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
So I'm going to take some risk here when the running backs fall off. And I'm going to say Christian McCaffrey... is a draft
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB sixteen on a ADP)
his value is too good. He's QB sixteen on a ADP... I think he got a draft him because that value
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
We are drafting. Give me tetroh A McMillan one hundred percent... I think he could live up to what we wanted Marvin to be last year
Justin Fields to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
The rushing upside makes him a top ten quarterback draft.
Drake Maye to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
I kind of think he's going to stick around like QB between QB ten and fourteen this year.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh rounds)
We've seen Bill Krofsky Merrit going to like the seventh rounds, some people posting around the fifth round. I think it's gone too crazy
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the twelfth wide receiver on the consensus ADP)
I'm a pretty firm pass on Tyreek Hill... he's a pass for me. I don't want a lot of shares.