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17 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →99.1% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
751–775 of 1,028
570 / 1,028
graded
458 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 82.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.6 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 12 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 8.3 accuracy (2 settled)
Austin Ekeler to fall short of his draft cost (high into the thirties)
You see Eckler going high into the thirties... I think it's gone too crazy, and I think there is too much of a committee here... So as a whole I'm gonna pass.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver thirty two)
I think Rice at the current value still doesn't make sense. So that's why they're both going to be passes.
Travis Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top thirty)
So for a wide receiver of that talent to be going outside the top thirty... I think Travis Hunter is still a smash draft.
Tucker Kraft to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
And if this all happens, that he could be sniffing like top five, top six type of production this year... the more like high end expectations for him is probably top five, top six
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three)
I've got him as a wide receiver two, he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three. And it's Tedo McMillan.
George Pickens to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.
Brian Robinson to move — “cut or traded”
So I am forecasting that Brian Robertson Junior is cut or traded.
Tetairoa McMillan to record 10–12 receiving tds
he could spike ten to twelve touchdowns this year
George Pickens to outplay his draft cost (he's being drafted as a wide receiver three)
George Pickens, baby breakout season here... for a player that I'm comfortably ranking him aggressively as a wide receiver two and he's being drafted as a wide receiver three
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range)
Jaquori Crosskey Merritt... He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range... I have him at RB thirty two... he's in that fringe RB two RB three conversation
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP)
Ricky Piersoll, Like he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP... I want to stay above consensus because I think the breakout is real and it's coming... this guy is heading for a huge season
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (going is the tight end eleven)
it's Tucker Craft. I mean, going is the tight end eleven... he's gonna have a massive breakout season
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (those mid rounds)
So I think there's a lot of appeal for Braylon Allen those mid rounds.
Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost (he's outside the top twenty)
My number five. I'll go to quarterback first. I'm gonna go to Bryce Young... we might be looking at Bryce Young by the end of the year as a fringe QB one and he's outside the top twenty
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two in ADP)
he took Ricky pearsoll just I mean, I just knew it... to be fair, like I actually had him as my number one... I cannot agree more on Ricky Piersel.
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty eight in ECR)
It's Marvin Mims... now we're talking about Marvin Mims clearly is the number two and potentially having one hundred plus targets
Tucker Kraft to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Do you think Craft can rise above that and have this kind of like top five ish tight end season. Speaker 3: I do
Romeo Doubs to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty four)
This feels like the most lay up of mine. I'm gonna go with Roman Duns... how are you not excited for the number two, who, by the way, has a world where he might be the most valuable Bears wide receiver
Caleb Williams to record 4,000 passing yards
Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.
Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart
we have one clear option, Matthew Golden is clearly going to be the one
Marvin Mims Jr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
he's clearly been the number two. He's been run out there as the number two... the two that we know right now is actually Marvin Mims
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be 3rd on the depth chart
Rodriguez is a good talent. I would put him third on this depth chart.
Cedric Tillman to outplay his draft cost (going super late in draft)
I'm gonna go to Cedric Tillman... for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two
Cedric Tillman to be 2nd on the depth chart
even if he's just averaging six seven targets per game, for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two
Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.