Connor Rogers Ran the Table, Mike Kadlick's Bears Call Doubled Up | MissedTakes Weekly

What does it take to win a MissedTakes Pundit of the Week award? Grading 100% accuracy for ten rated opinions from three articles, apparently. Which is what Connor Rogers pulled off for NFL Week 9. For the MissedTakes Score Award, Mike Kadlick took first place this week with a +161.

Who had the most accurate week?

Connor Rogers went 10-for-10 on between October 30 and November 6, covering Week 8 and Week 9 slates. He picked Chicago over Washington, New England over Miami, Jacksonville over Baltimore, and then swept six more picks: Cincinnati, Denver, Kansas City, New Orleans, the Rams, and the Giants. Whether a miracle or expertise, they all won the way Rogers said they would. Two of those, Kansas City and New Orleans, were already the favored home team, so they scored zero on the MissedTakes Score; the other eight beat most pundits and each scored in the 150-plus range. For Jacksonville specifically, with Baltimore the favored pick, Rogers told listeners: "I am gonna pick Jacksonville to win the game" ...and Jacksonville won 33-10. He may not have seen Lamar Jackson injuring his thumb on the first pass, but he definitely called the win for Duval.

Looking at the season, Rogers sits at 73.53 accuracy across 65 graded calls, so this week's 100 is a not-too-gigantic rise from his longer record.

We don't just track overall accuracy here at MissedTakes: we also look at how difficult the takes were. That awared goes to Mike Kadlick this week. That said, it was for a much smaller sample: two articles, both built around the same pick. Writing for Sports Illustrated, Kadlick was one of only a few opinionists who chose the Bears to beat the Seahawks in Seattle. Chicago won 34-17, and because Seattle was the was both the home team and the favorite, each call scored +161. Kadlick's season record sits at 56.89 accuracy across 44 graded calls, so this was one of his stronger results. Face it: you pick the underdog too many times and you're going to get burned. Not this time, though! The risk paid off.

How unusual was that Bears-Seahawks call?

The Bears-Seahawks game is the week's best example of a field that got it wrong together. Of 65 pundits who picked a side, 48 took Seattle to the Bears' 17, and the nine pundits whose predicted scores we tracked all had Seattle winning, with Randy Gurzi's call the furthest off at a projected 11-point Seattle margin. Chicago won by 17. Across every graded call involving Seattle this week, 81 calls in all, the average accuracy was 3.8, the lowest of any team with a double-digit sample. Kadlick and Rogers both picked against that field on Chicago and both were paid for it.

What did the week's graded calls look like overall?

Pundits had 354 calls graded in the week of November 2-8, led by 211 game outcome picks and 105 score predictions. Game outcome accuracy averaged 57.8 for the week; score predictions averaged 70.6. Roster spot calls were the weakest type with real volume, averaging 21.4 accuracy across 14 graded calls, with four separate pundits grading to zero on specific 53-man or practice-squad projections: Randy Gurzi on a Seahawks return man, John Shipley on a full Jaguars practice squad, David Harrison on the Commanders' initial 53, and Brendon Nelson on several Seahawks roster cuts. Henry Brown's call that Washington would lose five straight into the trade deadline also scored zero.

The week's best calls came from a different corner entirely: full-season schedule predictions made months ago that finally graded out as correct. Michael Irvin scored 100 twice on a 13-4 Cowboys finish picked game by game, Jeff Cavanaugh matched him with a 12-5 Cowboys call, and Conor Orr scored 100 on a 6-11 Giants projection under John Harbaugh; all three calls scored +200.

What does the season-long consensus data show?

Among 2025 win-total calls with at least three predictions, Kansas City's collective call missed the field's number by 6.4 wins, the largest miss of any team tracked, ahead of Washington (-5.2) on nine and six calls respectively. In the 2025 MVP ballot, 24 of 68 picks named Matthew Stafford, who won; Drake Maye was next with 10 picks. In Offensive Rookie of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan won with five picks out of 29, tied with Ashton Jeanty for the most picks in a field that split across 11 other names.