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Writes at Steve Deace Show
Across 5 graded calls in 3 articles, Aaron McIntire scores 0% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -55.33, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 5 calls · one square per call
5misses100%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
5 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first.
“Exit question. Who wins the Michigan senate race? Aaron, Mike Rogers or El Sayed? Mike Rogers.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Aaron McIntire isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“Go ahead, Aaron. Yes. I'm at Kamala. I'm also at, like, a seven just like Todd.”
“So I I think Republicans will end up with a minimum of 54 seats, a maximum of 57 maybe.”
“what I would like to see immediately and I think is going to happen is Carrie Lake down in Arizona declares an invasion on the border”
“I'm calling my shots. We're gonna go Lee Zeldin in New York.”