Chris Simms Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 4

Show the 13 graded calls

Houston Texans 20 — Colts 17
“I'm gonna go Texans win this one twenty 03/17.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 97.32-93.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−93.94
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
97.32
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Sep 27): Texans by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Texans win (by 3) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Washington 14
“So, yeah, I I'm Seahawks all the way here, 24 to 14”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 97.32-125.44 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
−125.44
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
97.32
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (38).
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 28 — Cowboys 24
“I'm going to take Baltimore 2824... I'm gonna ride them twenty eight twenty four.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 44.94+99.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
99.56
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
44.94
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3, total 53.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 4) and fewer points (52).
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants 17 — Titans 13
“I think they win an ugly one here... I'm gonna say seventeen thirteen Giants.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 90.18+14.06 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
14.06
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
90.18
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 27): Giants by 2.5, total 37.5 · this 17–13 calls a bigger Giants win (by 4) and fewer points (30).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21
“So I'm gonna take Jacksonville to win a close one. They're at home... Jaguars winning twenty three twenty one”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3, total 46.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 2) and fewer points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 28 — Bucs 17
“I'm going Vikings 28 to 17.”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 35.42+104.06 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
104.06
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Sep 27): Vikings by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 11) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 35 — Chargers 27
“So now I'm going to go Buffalo wins by eight... I got Buffalo winning thirty five twenty seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.04+32.06 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
32.06
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
83.04
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7, total 50.5 · this 35–27 calls a bigger Bills win (by 8) and more points (62).
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 24 — Browns 20
“I'm gonna pick the Panthers. I am there, but I do. I'm going twenty four twenty.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 94.94-89.44 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
−89.44
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
94.94
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 27): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 4) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20
“So I'm definitely taking the Bengals to win this one... Oh, I'm gonna go twenty seven twenty.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 94.94-102.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
−102.94
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
94.94
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Sep 27): Bengals by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and more points (47).
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 31 — Cardinals 20
“I got them winning 31 to 20.”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 87.8+0.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
0.56
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
87.8
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
11
Closing line (Sep 27): 49ers by 7.5, total 48.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and more points (51).
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 26 — Raiders 17
“I'm gonna have the Saints kinda pull away just late. That's kinda how I got it. Like, twenty six seventeen.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 33.04+27.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
27.56
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
33.04
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Sep 27): Saints by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 26–17 calls a bigger Saints win (by 9) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 34 — Dolphins 20
“I I'm certainly with you and the Chiefs... I'm gonna go $34.20, Kansas City Chiefs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 18.75+153.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
153.56
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
18.75
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Sep 27): Chiefs by 10, total 45.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 14) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 24 — Rams 21
“I'm gonna go, Broncos here. 2421, close football game”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 92.56+9.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
9.56
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
92.56
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5, total 43.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 3) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?

Sep 18, 2026

Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. They also reiterated that Denver was their preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.Score Predictions, Game Outcome Picks · 14 calls

4 hits · 6 close calls · 3 misses · 1 waiting · 4 of 13 graded calls landed

Show the 13 graded calls

San Francisco 49ers 34 — Dolphins 20
“I originally picked the 40 niners 31 to 20... I'm gonna go make it 34 to 20.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 50+60.05 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-35
skill:
60.05
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5, total 44.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 — Browns 17
“I have the Browns I mean, the Bucks winning 27 to 17.”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 42.56-13.28 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-19
skill:
−13.28
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
42.56
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Sep 20): Buccaneers by 8.5, total 41.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 10) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 21 — Falcons 17
“I got the Panthers winning the football game. Where the hell was my score? Oh, 21 to 17.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+97 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-3
skill:
97
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 4) and fewer points (38).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 23 — Bengals 20
“I'm taking, the Texans here. I'm gonna take them 23 to 20.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 18.75+9.82 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-6
skill:
9.82
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
18.75
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (Texans by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 31 — Vikings 27
“I'm going with the bears here, thirty one twenty seven, to win the game, but they're not covering.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 37.8+14.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
9-3
skill:
14.43
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
37.8
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 31–27 calls a closer game (Bears by 4) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Patriots 21
“this is gonna be one of my upsets of the week here... I got the Steelers winning this '1 2321”
Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 61.61-91.8 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-20
skill:
−91.8
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
14.29
baseline:
61.61
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 23–21 calls a Steelers win (by 2; the line gave the Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%)) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 13
“I'm going Eagles 27 to 13. I think it's just a slow beat down in this one.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 42.56+65.24 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
65.24
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
42.56
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7, total 39.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 14) and more points (40).
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys 34 — Commanders 24
“So I'm gonna go, Cowboys thirty four twenty four.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 61.61+42.15 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-37
skill:
42.15
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
61.61
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Sep 20): Cowboys by 3.5, total 51.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (58).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona
“I'm going to go Seattle winning the game... I picked the the Seahawks only win by a field goal.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
31-7
skill:
194
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
ARI
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Closing line (Sep 20): Seahawks by 3.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (66%).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 28 — Giants 24
“I got the Rams winning 2824, but I don't think this is one that's gonna be easy regardless.”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+13.86 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-28
skill:
13.86
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 28–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 4) and more points (52).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers 28 — Raiders 20
“I'm having the chargers win the game here, and I'm gonna have them winning twenty eight twenty.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 23.51+32.91 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
32.91
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
23.51
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
8
Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Chargers win (by 8) and more points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Broncos 24
“I'm going with the Jaguars to win the game. I'm gonna, I mean, flat out win the game. I'm gonna go twenty seven twenty four.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 85.42-87.18 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
−87.18
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
85.42
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 27–24 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (51).
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 20
“I'm gonna go with the Packers to win the game... I am gonna take the Packers 24 to 20 like I said.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 44.94+102.2 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-17
skill:
102.2
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
44.94
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Packers win (by 4) and fewer points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?

Chris Simms

Every graded call, continued · page 4