Chris Simms#58 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2026
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Simms said
I'm gonna go 20 to 16 Packers.
- Where it was said
- Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)
- The episode
- Falcons-Packers pick; Defending Justin Herbert
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24
- PlayedSep 24
- GradedSep 29
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 9.5 out of 100, against 2.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers 20 — Falcons 16
What happenedFalcons 35–14called Packers by 4 · lost by 219.52Miss · naive 2.089.52this call−2.08a naive guess=7.44better than naive×1.89difficulty=+14.06skillClosing line (Sep 24): Packers by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 20–16 calls a closer game (Packers by 4) and fewer points (36). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 35-14
- skill:
- 14.06
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 9.52
- baseline:
- 2.08
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 4
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.John Middlekauff · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.