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Chris Simms· Sep 24, 2026

Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

“I'm gonna go 20 to 16 Packers.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 9.5 out of 100, against 2.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 20 — Falcons 16

    “I like them to cover too. I'm gonna go 20 to 16 Packers... I think this will be a defensive struggle, but I do think Green Bay wins.”

    Miss · 10Scored 9.52a naive guess scored 2.08+14.06 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-14
    skill:
    14.06
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    9.52
    baseline:
    2.08
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4

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