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Chris Simms#58 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 11, 2025

As relayed on the show, Simms ranked the top ten quarterbacks heading into the next season, with Lamar Jackson first and Jalen Hurts tenth.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

40Close · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
40This callout of 100
#58Chris Simms’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Simms said

He has Lamar Jackson one, Josh Allen two... He had Joe Burrow three, Patrick Mahomes four.
Chris Simms’s words, quoted for attribution
The episode
Hour 2 - Ranking the AFC QBs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 11, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 40 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Top Player Lists

    “has now ranked the top ten quarterbacks heading in the next season. He has Lamar Jackson one, Josh Allen two... He had Joe Burrow three, Patrick Mahomes four... Chris Simms had Jalen Hurts... at behind Baker Mayfield, Justin Herbert, C. J. Stroud, Matt Stafford, and Jayden Daniels.”

    VerdictClose
    40Close · naive 50
    40this call50a naive guess−10worse than naive2difficulty−20skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −20
    placed:
    5
    season:
    2025
    players:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 5: 40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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