Connor Rogers· Nov 5, 2026
Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.
“I'll go Minnesota because the fact that they're second in the NFL in both yards allowed per game and yards allowed per play”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 position group finish and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where this call stands in the room
Minnesota Vikings · 2026 season6 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 22. Connor Rogers said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Jaguars at Ravens 25 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore
“It's a huge spread. I was much happier when it was at nine and a half, but nevertheless, Chris, I am gonna pick Jacksonville to win the game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 33-10
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).
- Position Group FinishMinnesota VikingsNov 5, 2026
Minnesota Vikings defense to be the best in the league
“I'll go Minnesota because Yeah. The fact that they're second in the NFL in both yards allowed per game and yards allowed per play”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group FinishChicago BearsNov 5, 2026
Chicago Bears offense to be the best in the league
“And the chat agrees with you, and I agree with you. They're at 41 point 1% right now in Chicago.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 100Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs he expects in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. He also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest he'll ever sign.
More position group finish
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Zachary PerelesPosition Group Finish · Baltimore RavensPendingPereles grades the Brissett trade well for both sides, projecting Brissett as Baltimore's Week 10 starter who gives the Ravens a workable but below-average offense, and identifying the Chargers and Panthers games as winnable.
- Chris LongPosition Group Finish · Green Bay PackersPendingPreviewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.
- Chris SimmsPosition Group Finish · Tampa Bay BuccaneersPendingSimms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
- Christopher CarterPosition Group Finish · Pittsburgh SteelersPendingCarter argues the Steelers' defense genuinely belongs among the NFL's top five, crediting Patrick Graham's scheme, and frames the discussion around whether that level holds for the rest of the season.
- Nick WrightPosition Group Finish · Buffalo BillsPendingWright picked Buffalo to beat Baltimore in Lamar Jackson's return game, argued the Bills' much-maligned defense will climb to roughly 24th in the league rather than finishing 30th, expects Jacksonville to beat the Ravens four days later, and said a win in Denver would make 12 wins Kansas City's floor.
- Dan OrlovskyPosition Group Finish · Buffalo BillsPendingOrlovsky argued that the Bills' defensive issues are a handful of blown-coverage snaps per game, and that if Buffalo cleans those up it has the talent and scheme to finish as a top-15, top-half-of-the-league defense.