Loading…
Loading…
Writes at Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)
70 graded calls in 12 articles, newest first — page 2 of 3. Every take from Connor Rogers, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Jets
“I'm gonna pick the Raiders to win. It is very simple for me.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5 · a toss-up, Raiders 47%, Jets 53%.
Atlanta Falcons to beat Bucks
“Atlanta's getting two and a half, but I'm with you that they win... So give me the Falcons with the upset”
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns
“I agree with you that the Steelers win... So I'll say Steelers win Browns cover yet again.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Detroit Lions to beat Vikings
“I just think Goff is gonna have the answers against Flores's blitz... and I don't think the Vikings will have the offense to respond where Detroit will win”
Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle
“I like the Bears to cover and win the game... I think this will be a statement win for the Bears.”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Washington Commanders to beat eagles
“I took the commanders to win in cover as well, even with some of the injuries that they've had.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6 · favorite pick, Commanders 71%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“But I still won't pick against the Bills for... To win this game... So I got a Ravens cover, a Bills win.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins
“I'm believing in New England, Chris. I think New England is gonna just handle business schematically.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts
“I'm picking the Jacks to win the game... I think Jacksonville takes care of their business.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tennessee
“I'm gonna say Tennessee covers. I don't think it's gonna be pretty. I think the Bengals are gonna be fine and win the game.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Denver Broncos to beat Arizona
“I'm going with Arizona to cover this game. Oh, okay. I I think Denver wins”
Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 2 in 3 (67%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Atlanta Falcons 17
“I'm gonna go twenty seven seventeen... So take one touchdown off the board for the Atlanta Falcons.”
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“I am low confidence gonna take the Jets to win in cover”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders
“We see this one very closely. I'm with you. I think the Rams win. I do not think they cover.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks
“I'm gonna take the Chiefs. Yeah. Now they're getting three points. I think they win.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Dallas Cowboys 23 — Eagles 20
“So I got Dallas winning this one twenty three twenty.”
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 3) and fewer points (43).
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints
“I'm not gonna pick the Saints to win. I am gonna pick them to cover.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts
“So both Chris and I are on a Minnesota win and cover.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens
“So I'm gonna go with Cincinnati, winning and covering, but it is low confidence”
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Green Bay Packers to beat Lions
“I'm taking the Packers to win as well, which is an upset.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · underdog pick, Packers 37%.
Carolina Panthers to beat Bucs
“I'm gonna take the Panthers as well, but it's a lower confidence pick for me”
Closing line (Oct 25): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 60%.
Cleveland Browns to beat Titans
“I'm gonna have the Browns win a close one. I'm gonna take the Browns winning cover.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5 · a toss-up, Browns 54%, Titans 46%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Chicago Bears to beat Patriots
“I'm gonna take the Bears on the short week. Okay. I think New England's, you know, lack of health at the moment, this might be the spot where it catches up to them... I don't think the Bears are gonna win by 10 points or anything like that.”
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 58%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
“I like Jacksonville just as the better team... but I am gonna take Jacksonville.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars 56%.
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“I'm going with New England... I just think the Patriots offense will have the right game plan in this that they win by more than the touchdown.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bucks
“I'm gonna take the Steelers to win in cover in this one. I don't think the Bucks are very good.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Steelers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 56%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
New York Giants to beat Saints
“I'd I'd picking the Giants to cover, which kinda means I'm picking them to win because it's only a point and a half in this one.”
Closing line (Oct 18): a toss-up, about even (Saints 50%, Giants 50%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Chicago Bears to beat Falcons
“I'm gonna take the Bears, but... To cover and win, but not with a high confidence level.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 52%, Falcons 48%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
“Rams win Cardinals backdoor cover for me.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns
“So I think the Ravens win. I do think the Browns cover the three and a half line.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Indianapolis Colts to beat Tennessee
“And I think the Colts win just like you, Chris.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
Carolina Panthers to beat Eagles
“Week six, we had two disagreements straight up. Yeah. I took the bears and the Panthers.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 59%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Denver
“I'm taking Seattle tonight ... But I think Seattle wins this game by at least a field goal.”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.