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Writes at Steve Deace Show
Is Daniel Horowitz accurate? Across 8 graded calls in 2 articles, Daniel Horowitz scores 84.17% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 41.47, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
92.86% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“And then my senate map pretty much just reflects that he'll... He'll get... We'll get Montana.”
“I got to two nineteen two sixteen Republicans... It would put them at two nineteen, but it could easily go either way.”
“I got to two nineteen two sixteen Republicans.”
“I would just say Ohio. Ohio's momentum towards being red appears to have stalled out for me from what I'm seeing. There's some Democrat net in migration there, but I could be wrong. That would be the fifty second seat if I'm wrong.”
“what I would tell you is if nothing else, they get Montana”
“The house the house they have at 50.2% right now, the markets do. ... So you know, it should be it should be closer to 60% they keep it. ... I'm gonna hold on the house, but I disagree with the market.”
“I do think they get 51, and that's before you talk about Ohio Ohio with Marino or Pennsylvania with McCormick.”
“The current senate market is 83.3% that the GOP takes the senate. You're gonna buy on that? Buy. ... So definitely buy.”