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Jeremy Pargo· Nov 2, 2026

Bergman picks the Bears to beat the Seahawks in Week 8.

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks

    “Jeremy Bergman: Bears”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.

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