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Lance Zierlein covers the NFL across a wide range of podcasts and outlets, including Move the Sticks, Around the NFL, and The 33rd Team. His work spans draft projections, roster moves, and game predictions, with particular attention to the Texans, Cowboys, and the broader AFC landscape.
More about Lance Zierlein ↓Writes at The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)
Across 45 graded calls in 21 articles, Lance Zierlein scores 64.33% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 48.28, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #11 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 90 calls · one square per call
24hits53% of graded
12Close27%
9misses20%
45
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Lance Zierlein covers the NFL across a wide range of podcasts and outlets, including Move the Sticks, Around the NFL, and The 33rd Team. His work spans draft projections, roster moves, and game predictions, with particular attention to the Texans, Cowboys, and the broader AFC landscape.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
45 graded calls in 21 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Lance Zierlein, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Lance Zierlein would be #38; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #11.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jeremy Pargo | 53.36 | 70.97% | 38 |
| 10 | Shanna McCarriston | 50.5 | 71.26% | 20 |
| 11 | Lance Zierlein | 48.28 | 64.33% | 45 |
| 12 | Derek Brown | 48.03 | 69.56% | 115 |
| 13 | Gennaro Filice | 47.94 | 66.91% | 38 |
“Lance Zierlein, NFL YouTube : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Bengals 24
“Jaguars win overtime nail-biter in Cincy ... "Cam Little kicks a game-winning field goal in overtime for a 27-24 win" (Week 4)”
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 27–24 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and fewer points (51).
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans
“I still got the Texans winning this one. You got the Texans? / No. I don't. ... But without Nico Collins, I just think there's a tremendous amount of pressure on CJ, frankly, to be perfect.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 43%.
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
“I've just you know, I've already turned my picks in. I had Texans when I had to turn them into NFL.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 57%.
Houston Texans 23 — Bills 17
“Texans beat him, 23 to 16. Okay. 23. No. That's four scores. I'm gonna go I'll go twenty three seventeen.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a Texans win (by 6; the line gave the Texans 50%) and fewer points (40).
Atlanta Falcons to beat Steelers
“Week one of my bold prediction... And I said, Falcons beat. Falcons, despite their disarray quarterback, go in to beat the Steelers.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Steelers by 6.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 28%.
Lewis Bond to make the roster
“if if if Tank weren't there to start the season, I think you'd see Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall both make the the team potentially”
Lewis Bond to make the roster
“if if Tank weren't there to start the season, I think you'd see Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall both make the the team potentially”
Jaylin Noel to make the roster
“I think you'd see Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall both make the the team potentially”