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Is Kirk Bado accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 2 articles, Kirk Bado scores 72.42% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 22.42, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“I still think that given the general attitude towards folks right now that, toward the the direction of the country, still feelings about the economy... that it's still Trump's race to lose”
“They've raised a lot of money. You see a last minute investment coming in from national groups here right now, but I think it might be a little bit too little too late here to really push that across the line.”
“we do the top 10 most likely to flip. West Virginia was the wire to wire, number one spot there. Montana, number two the whole time, and Ohio, three... Nebraska did make an appearance on the back end of our list at 10. Texas moved up a single spot, to nine.”
“They also pick up maybe the Michigan senate seat Okay. As well. It's a narrow gap. Mike Mike Rogers wins the open seat there.”
“He he wins the White House, Republicans flip the senate... I think that is probably, as we sit here right now, fifteen days out, the most likely scenario that it is a narrow, narrow, narrow Trump win”
“And because the house will be decided predominantly in blue states and districts that president Biden won, The Democrats win the house.”
“He he wins the White House, Republicans flip the senate”