Loading…
Loading…
Marcus Mosher is an NFL expert who has spent more than a decade covering the league. Mosher hosts the Locked On Cowboys Podcast and Locked On Dynasty Football Podcast for the Locked On Podcast Network. The written work appears at Pro Football Focus, The 33rd Team, and USA Today. The predictions here run from weekly power rankings and season-win totals to playoff berths, fantasy sleepers, and player movement calls. Teams in the graded sample include the Cowboys, Packers, Broncos, Saints, Raiders, Buccaneers, Giants, and Colts. Among the players named in those calls: Rico Dowdle, Marvin Mims Jr., Sam Darnold, and Drake London.
More about Marcus Mosher ↓Writes at The 33rd Team
Across 77 graded calls in 14 articles, Marcus Mosher scores 81.66% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.16, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #41 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Depth Chart Calls (95.19% accuracy across 19 graded calls); their weakest is Division Winners (59.52% across 10 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 93 calls · one square per call
58hits75% of graded
9Close12%
10misses13%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Marcus Mosher keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 84.8 accuracy (10 settled)
Marcus Mosher is an NFL expert who has spent more than a decade covering the league. Mosher hosts the Locked On Cowboys Podcast and Locked On Dynasty Football Podcast for the Locked On Podcast Network. The written work appears at Pro Football Focus, The 33rd Team, and USA Today. The predictions here run from weekly power rankings and season-win totals to playoff berths, fantasy sleepers, and player movement calls. Teams in the graded sample include the Cowboys, Packers, Broncos, Saints, Raiders, Buccaneers, Giants, and Colts. Among the players named in those calls: Rico Dowdle, Marvin Mims Jr., Sam Darnold, and Drake London.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
77 graded calls in 14 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Marcus Mosher, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
16waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Marcus Mosher would be #4; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #41.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Gregg Rosenthal | 21.48 | 63.14% | 319 |
| 40 | JP Acosta | 21.48 | 59.01% | 142 |
| 41 | Marcus Mosher | 21.16 | 81.66% | 77 |
| 42 | Shannon Sharpe | 20.84 | 65.2% | 33 |
| 43 | Richard Sherman | 20.81 | 57.66% | 213 |
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 85.3 accuracy (10 settled)
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.3 accuracy (10 settled)
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 85.0 accuracy (10 settled)
Outside the room in 7 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 79.0 accuracy (7 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 72.3 accuracy (4 settled)
Washington Commanders to beat Dallas Cowboys
“With a win against Dallas in Week 18, they can win 12 games and clinch the No. 6 seed in the NFC. That is easier said than done... But look for Dan Quinn's squad to get that done this time around.”
Closing line (Jan 5): Commanders by 7 · favorite pick, Commanders about 3 in 4 (73%).
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“Houston will still host a playoff game in Round 1, but don't be surprised if it is a heavy underdog in that matchup.”
“Here are our updated power rankings going into the final week of the 2024 season: NFL Week 17 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) ... 32. New York Giants (3-13)”
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“The Rams have turned things around in the second half of the season and will be back in the postseason... the fact that they will be hosting a home playoff game is pretty wild”
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“Baltimore is a sure-fire playoff team, but it clearly isn't the same regular-season team we saw last year.”
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“The Denver Broncos are a near-lock to make the postseason”
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
“And with the defense starting to come along, they should be the heavy favorites to take the division now.”
“Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 14 of the 2024 season”
Jacksonville Jaguars to pick at number 1
“That means Jacksonville could pick at No. 1 for the third time in five seasons.”