Mel Kiper Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded, page 2

Feb 27, 2026

Kiper's latest mock draft, as relayed on the show, has Caleb Downs second to the Jets, Karnell Tate sixth to the Browns, Spencer Fano fifth to the Giants, Mauigoa 11th to the Dolphins, Jeremiah Love ninth to the Chiefs, Ty Simpson 20th to the Steelers, plus Makai Lemmon, Jordan Tyson and Denzel Boston in the first round.Mock Draft Picks · 9 calls

4 hits · 5 close calls · 4 of 9 graded calls landed

Show the 9 graded calls

Caleb Downs to be picked at number 2
“he is the number two prospect or at least going number two to the jets, excuse me, in Melchheimer Junior's latest mock”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked “in the top 10 to the Saints” (picks 1–10)
“He's one of four wide receivers going in the first round of Mel's draft with USC's Makai Lemmon also in the top 10 to the Saints”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
in the top 10 to the Saints (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“He's one of four wide receivers going in the first round of Mel's draft with... followed by Jordan Tyson to the Ravens”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 20
“Mel Kiper had him going 20 to the Steelers in his latest mock.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9
“Mel Kiper's latest mock has him landing in Kansas City with the ninth pick.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Denzel Boston to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“followed by Jordan Tyson to the Ravens, Denzel Boston to the Bills”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 11
“Just outside the top 10, Francisco or CC Maui Noah. Mel has him going 11 to the Dolphins”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“the highest drafted wideout in Mel Kiper Junior's mock draft going six to the Browns”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 5
“a key piece of Mel Kiper Junior's mock draft, and there are six in total going in the first round led by Utah's Spencer Fano going fifth overall to the Giants”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 25, 2026

Kiper's latest mock draft, as described on the show, had Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to Las Vegas, safety Caleb Downs No. 2 to the Jets, Arbel Reese No. 4 to Tennessee, and edge rusher Ruben Behn to Cincinnati in the first round.Mock Draft Picks · 4 calls

2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting · 2 of 3 graded calls landed

Show the 3 graded calls

Caleb Downs to be picked at number 2
“Maybe a shock at two, though. A safety Caleb Downs joining Aaron Glenn and the jets.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4
“The other being the aforementioned Reese, number four overall for Tennessee, and new defensive minded head coach, Robert Saleh.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Zero surprise at the top. Fernando Mendoza can start house hunting in Vegas.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 18, 2026

Kiper's first mock draft has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Arvell Reese second to the Jets, a third pick to Arizona, Carnell Tate fifth to the Giants, Jeremiah Love ninth to Kansas City, Caleb Downs 10th to Cincinnati, Sonny Styles to Dallas, and Ty Simpson at 16 to the Jets. They also say Dante Moore will be in the No. 1 pick conversation with Arch Manning next year.Mock Draft Picks · 11 calls

7 hits · 2 close calls · 2 waiting · 7 of 9 graded calls landed

Show the 9 graded calls

Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20
“And they could pick again at 20. They could get maybe Messador from Miami.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“You got the Jets choosing Arbel Reese out of the Ohio State... And you got Reese there at, second overall”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“And then you do have the Giants going and grabbing Carnell Tate... the Giants take him at five”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“and Marigoa going to Arizona at three”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And you still have Fernando Mendoza being the top pick in the draft.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Caleb Downs, 10 to Cincinnati.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9
“And then you're looking at the end of your top 10 as we just saw. Jeremiah Love, nine to Kansas City.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “in that top nine somewhere” (picks 1–9)
“So Jeremiah Love is gonna be in that top nine somewhere.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
in that top nine somewhere (picks 1–9)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 16
“And then you had Ty Simpson going off the board right in the middle to the Jets... So you think about where the jets are picking at 16.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?

Apr 8, 2025

Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson.Mock Draft Picks · 46 calls

9 hits · 1 close call · 4 misses · 32 waiting · 9 of 14 graded calls landed

Show the 14 graded calls

Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
“the Patriots at four ... they would go with the best offensive lineman, and he thinks Will Campbell, Mel Kiper”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
“Abdul Carter to the Giants... with Hunter and Carter going two three”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 41
“the bears forty first overall, they add to the mix, Trevion Henderson”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
TreVeyon Henderson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
38
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
41
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Will Johnson to be picked at number 11
“Will Johnson would be taken by the Niners eleventh overall”
Miss · 21Scored 21.02 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Will Johnson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
21.02
baseline:
50
actual pick:
47
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
21.02
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Shough to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“Mel believes the Friday night of the draft... will start quarterback quarterback, and that the Browns and the Giants are gonna get their guys and Shuck and Millrow right there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
40
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“Travis Hunter go second overall to Cleveland.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
“Ashton Genti at six... Those three picks seem locked to the Raiders.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“He believes we are going to see Cam Ward go first overall... Cam Ward and Mason Graham to the Titans and Jaguars respectively”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And then Milrow going to the Giants would be would be a neat... That's a fun quarterback”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Jalen Milroe
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Emeka Egbuka to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“Ibuka from Ohio State going to the Wow. What a wide receiver room that cup becomes. With Brian Thomas junior”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Emeka Egbuka
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
“Shador Sanders, who he says drops all the way to nine for the Saints to get him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.29 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
0.29
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.29
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
“Mel thinks they're gonna go offensive line again, and Armand Mebu, seventh overall.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 43
“If the niners wind up with Kenneth Grant forty third overall out of Michigan, that is what we call a steal.”
Miss · 27Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Kenneth Grant
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
43
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?
Luther Burden III to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“You know, Luther Burden out of Missouri.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.94
player:
Luther Burden III
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.94
Think this grade is wrong?

Mel Kiper

Every graded call, continued · page 2