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Mel KiperApr 8, 2025

Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 14picks landed
9 hits · 1 close call · 4 misses · 32 waiting
93.94The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+43.94Skillthe mock as a whole
72.9Per pickaverage, out of 100
0Went undraftedeach a miss

What Mel Kiper said

He believes we are going to see Cam Ward go first overall.
Mel Kiper, the lead quote
The episode
Top 5 Teams That Should Trade Into The Top 5 In The NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 8, 2025
  2. GradedOct 1, 2026

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 16020
Round 21010
Picks 0–021132
All91432

How the mock scored

46 checkable claims — 46 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 74 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 46 have settled so far, averaging 72.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 143 →143later
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed. Faint rules mark the rounds.

The mock as a whole

93.94this mock’s order50a shuffled mock43.94better than naive1difficulty+43.94skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–326 hits · 2 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
1TENCam Wardquarterback1100
2CLETravis Hunter2100
3NYGAbdul Carter3100
4NEWill Campbelloffensive lineman4100
6LVAshton Jeantyrunning back6100
7NYJArmand Membouoffensive line7100
9NOShedeur Sandersquarterback1440
11SFWill Johnson4721
Round 2 · picks 33–641 hit · 1 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
41CHITreVeyon Hendersonrunning back3888
43SFKenneth Grant1327
Picks 0–02 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 32 waitingShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
0NYGJalen Milroequarterback9230
0—Emeka Egbukawide receiver1955
0CLETyler Shoughquarterback40100
0—Luther Burden IIIwide receiver39100
0TBNick Emmanworisafety——
0BUFMaxwell Hairstoncorner——
0PHIJames Pearce Jr.——
0HOUJosh Conerly Jr.offensive line——
0KCKaleb Johnsonrunning back——
0LARJaxson Dartquarterback——
0CARJalon Walker——
0DETDonovan Ezeiruaku——
0BALMalaki Starkssafety——
0GBMichael Williams——
0GBJack Coco——
0INDColston Lovelandtight end——
0KCJosh Simmonstackle——
0—Jahdae Barroncorner——
0—Jihaad Campbell——
0—Matthew Goldenwide receiver——
0JAXMason Graham——
0DALTrey Amoscorner——
0NYJElijah Arroyotight end——
0CINJaylahn Tuimolaou——
0—Kelvin Banks Jr.tackle——
0WASShemar Stewartpass rusher——
0—Derrick Harmondefensive tackle——
0CHIWalter Nolendefensive tackle——
0SEAJayden Higginswide receiver——
0ATLMike Greenlinebacker——
0DALOmarion Hamptonrunning back——
0MINDonovan Jacksonoffensive line——
0DENTetairoa McMillanwide receiver——
0CHITyler Warrentight end——
0BUFXavier Watts——
0DENQuinshon Judkinsrunning back——

Others on the same people

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