Mel Kiper· Apr 8, 2025
Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson.
“He believes we are going to see Cam Ward go first overall.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
46 checkable claims — 46 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 74 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
14 of 46 have settled so far, averaging 72.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Travis Hunter
- Cleveland Browns
- Cam Ward
- Tennessee Titans
- Jalen Milroe
- New York Giants
- Shedeur Sanders
- New Orleans Saints
- Ashton Jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Kenneth Grant
- San Francisco 49ers
- Tyler Shough
- Emeka Egbuka
- Luther Burden III
- Armand Membou
- New York Jets
- Will Johnson
- Will Campbell
- New England Patriots
- TreVeyon Henderson
- Chicago Bears
- Abdul Carter
- Jalon Walker
- Carolina Panthers
- Jihaad Campbell
- Kelvin Banks Jr.
- Jack Coco
- Green Bay Packers
- Quinshon Judkins
- Denver Broncos
- Jayden Higgins
- Seattle Seahawks
- Colston Loveland
- Indianapolis Colts
- Elijah Arroyo
- Omarion Hampton
- Dallas Cowboys
- Jahdae Barron
- Tyler Warren
- Jaylahn Tuimolaou
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Josh Conerly Jr.
- Houston Texans
- Shemar Stewart
- Washington Commanders
- Xavier Watts
- Buffalo Bills
- Nick Emmanwori
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Derrick Harmon
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Malaki Starks
- Baltimore Ravens
- Mike Green
- Atlanta Falcons
- Maxwell Hairston
- Michael Williams
- Jaxson Dart
- Los Angeles Rams
- Donovan Ezeiruaku
- Detroit Lions
- Mason Graham
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Kaleb Johnson
- Kansas City Chiefs
- James Pearce Jr.
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Josh Simmons
- Matthew Golden
- Donovan Jackson
- Minnesota Vikings
- Walter Nolen
- Trey Amos
46 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“Travis Hunter go second overall to Cleveland.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee TitansApr 8, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“He believes we are going to see Cam Ward go first overall... Cam Ward and Mason Graham to the Titans and Jaguars respectively”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksJalen MilroeNew York GiantsApr 8, 2025
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And then Milrow going to the Giants would be would be a neat... That's a fun quarterback”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Jalen Milroe
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 29.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 29.73
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
“Shador Sanders, who he says drops all the way to nine for the Saints to get him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.29 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.29
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.29
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
“Ashton Genti at six... Those three picks seem locked to the Raiders.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 43
“If the niners wind up with Kenneth Grant forty third overall out of Michigan, that is what we call a steal.”
Miss · 27Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Kenneth Grant
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 27.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 27.26
- predicted pick:
- 43
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksTyler ShoughCleveland BrownsApr 8, 2025
Tyler Shough to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“Mel believes the Friday night of the draft... will start quarterback quarterback, and that the Browns and the Giants are gonna get their guys and Shuck and Millrow right there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksEmeka EgbukaApr 8, 2025
Emeka Egbuka to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“Ibuka from Ohio State going to the Wow. What a wide receiver room that cup becomes. With Brian Thomas junior”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksLuther Burden IIIApr 8, 2025
Luther Burden III to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“You know, Luther Burden out of Missouri.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Luther Burden III
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksArmand MembouNew York JetsApr 8, 2025
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
“Mel thinks they're gonna go offensive line again, and Armand Mebu, seventh overall.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Armand Membou
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Will Johnson to be picked at number 11
“Will Johnson would be taken by the Niners eleventh overall”
Miss · 21Scored 21.02 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Will Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 21.02
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 47
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 21.02
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
“the Patriots at four ... they would go with the best offensive lineman, and he thinks Will Campbell, Mel Kiper”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Will Campbell
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 41
“the bears forty first overall, they add to the mix, Trevion Henderson”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- TreVeyon Henderson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 38
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 41
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
- Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterNew York GiantsApr 8, 2025
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
“Abdul Carter to the Giants... with Hunter and Carter going two three”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.94 against a shuffle’s 50+43.94 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.94
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.94
Jalon Walker to be picked at a slot they never named
“Jalen Walker... would go to Carolina”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJihaad CampbellApr 8, 2025
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at a slot they never named
“Jahad Campbell. Let's get him to try and make sure the 40 points that Joe Burrow puts up will hold up.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksKelvin Banks Jr.Apr 8, 2025
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named
“Calvin Banks junior, protecting Sam Darnold. He becomes a tackle that's kinda been left out of the discussions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJack CocoGreen Bay PackersApr 8, 2025
Jack Coco to be picked at a slot they never named
“Jack Beck out of Kansas State going to Green Bay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Quinshon Judkins to be picked at a slot they never named
“Quinshawn Judkins... He would be going to Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jayden Higgins to be picked at a slot they never named
“Jaden Higgins out of Iowa State to Seattle.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Colston Loveland to be picked at a slot they never named
“Colston Loveland, my tight end down at Michigan... A lot of people are penciling him in for Indianapolis.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksElijah ArroyoNew York JetsApr 8, 2025
Elijah Arroyo to be picked at a slot they never named
“The Jets do go tight on here to Elijah Arroyo”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Omarion Hampton to be picked at a slot they never named
“Omarion Hampton out of North Carolina would be the running back that the Cowboys would take there.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJahdae BarronApr 8, 2025
Jahdae Barron to be picked at a slot they never named
“Johnny Baron, the corner out of Texas... So Jalen Ramsey and Johnny Baron would be holding down a couple corners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksTyler WarrenChicago BearsApr 8, 2025
Tyler Warren to be picked at a slot they never named
“And then there's Tyler Warren going to the bears.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jaylahn Tuimolaou to be picked at a slot they never named
“It's JT Tuemoluau from Ohio State. He had a terrific career there staying in state to the Bengals.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named
“Connerly junior to add to the offensive line in Houston”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Shemar Stewart to be picked at a slot they never named
“Shamar Stewart to rush the passer for the commanders”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksXavier WattsBuffalo BillsApr 8, 2025
Xavier Watts to be picked at a slot they never named
“Xavier Watts, the Bills need to get their back end of the defense a little bit more short on.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Nick Emmanwori to be picked at a slot they never named
“the power forward, safety out of South Carolina. Nick Eamonn Warrie for the Bucks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksDerrick HarmonApr 8, 2025
Derrick Harmon to be picked at a slot they never named
“Derek Harmon, the defensive tackle out of Oregon... Ken Hayward as long in the tooth. Let's get Derek Harmon in there.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at a slot they never named
“Ted McMillan going to the Broncos.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Malaki Starks to be picked at a slot they never named
“Malachi Starks, safety... out of Georgia to the Ravens.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksMike GreenAtlanta FalconsApr 8, 2025
Mike Green to be picked at a slot they never named
“Mike Green, the Marshall linebacker being added to the mix in the middle of the draft, that would be to the Falcons.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Maxwell Hairston to be picked at a slot they never named
“Maxwell Hairston, the corner out of Kentucky for the Bills”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Michael Williams to be picked at a slot they never named
“Michael Williams of Georgia to Green Bay”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJaxson DartLos Angeles RamsApr 8, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be picked at a slot they never named
“The Rams decide to go and get their future quarterback and get Jackson dark.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at a slot they never named
“As a Rocco to the Lions out of Boston College, another guy for the front seven there.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mason Graham to be picked at a slot they never named
“Cam Ward and Mason Graham to the Titans and Jaguars respectively”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kaleb Johnson to be picked at a slot they never named
“that Iowa running back, Caleb Johnson is really good, and the Chiefs are like, we'll take them.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
James Pearce Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named
“the best front seven guy from the SEC will be going to the Eagles... James Pierce junior”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Josh Simmons to be picked at a slot they never named
“the best tackle on the board will be going to the Kansas City Chiefs... it's Josh Simmons”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksMatthew GoldenApr 8, 2025
Matthew Golden to be picked at a slot they never named
“Matthew Golden. How about a Golden Marvin Harrison Junior combo for Kyler Murray”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Donovan Jackson to be picked at a slot they never named
“Donovan Jackson to add to that offensive line in Minnesota”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksWalter NolenChicago BearsApr 8, 2025
Walter Nolen to be picked at a slot they never named
“Walter Nolan, the defensive tackle going to the bears.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksTrey AmosDallas CowboysApr 8, 2025
Trey Amos to be picked at a slot they never named
“Trey Amos would be a corner out of Ole Miss going to your Dallas Cowboys.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.
- Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks · Makai LemonHit · 96Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30.