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Nick Shook covers the NFL for Around the NFL, Good Morning Football, Move the Sticks and Sports Illustrated, offering predictions on power rankings, draft positioning and game outcomes. Shook writes on teams including the Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings and Las Vegas Raiders, and draft prospects such as Will Campbell and Jeremiyah Love.
Across 73 graded calls in 17 articles, Nick Shook scores 59.78% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 4.21, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #67 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Mock Draft Picks (91.48% accuracy across 37 graded calls); their weakest is Game Outcome Picks (26.67% across 11 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 128 calls · one square per call
37hits51% of graded
16Close22%
20misses27%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Nick Shook keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 2 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Nick Shook covers the NFL for Around the NFL, Good Morning Football, Move the Sticks and Sports Illustrated, offering predictions on power rankings, draft positioning and game outcomes. Shook writes on teams including the Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings and Las Vegas Raiders, and draft prospects such as Will Campbell and Jeremiyah Love.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
73 graded calls in 17 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Nick Shook, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
55waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Nick Shook would be #47; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #67.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Manti Te'o | 5.22 | 35.09% | 65 |
| 66 | TJ Jefferson | 5.22 | 36.67% | 27 |
| 67 | Nick Shook | 4.21 | 59.78% | 73 |
| 68 | Jeff Kerr | 1.84 | 74.98% | 191 |
| 69 | Jonas Knox | 0.9 | 62.95% | 58 |
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
“Nick Shook, NFL YouTube : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens
“we could see some movement from the Ravens and probably more movement from the Falcons as they come out on top”
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%.
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
“they take on the Packers next week, who cannot stop the run... it's a rivalry, and you throw the records out the window with the rivalries, but I have a feeling it's going to be lopsided again.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Saints
“I really worry about that defense stopping the run... that's what's gonna tip that game into a double-digit win for the ravens I think.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Ravens by 8.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 3 in 4 (76%).
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
“It still feels to me like it's a game that the Chargers win.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 3 in 4 (73%).
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Patriots
“I would take the Steelers straight up. The line doesn't even matter to me in this game, just because of how well their defense performed in week one.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5 · underdog pick, Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos
“I think that they have the formula to beat this team... I would probably take them straight up, even though they're going to mile high.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.
Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Cleveland Browns 9
“It's Jaguars minus eight and a half over the Browns... 30-9, that's what I went with.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 30–9 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 21) and fewer points (39). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Atlanta Falcons
“my first winner is going to be the Pittsburgh Steelers facing, looking at minus three and a half over the Atlanta Falcons... I think it's Probably a 7 to 10 point victory in this game.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Steelers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 72%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Dallas Cowboys to beat New York Giants
“I'm going Cowboys minus two and a half over the Giants... I picked them to win by 15”
Closing line (Sep 13): Cowboys by 3 · favorite pick, Cowboys 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Houston Texans to beat Buffalo Bills
“that was the fourth pick I had stashed away was Texans one and a half... I very much feel confident in the Texans winning this game at home to start the season.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%.
Aaron Donald to make the roster
“But I fully anticipate that he's gonna be on the roster.”