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Nick Shook#67 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 7, 2026

Shook laid out their full 1-32 NFL power rankings for the week, keeping the 49ers at No. 1 and the Chiefs at No. 2, dropping the Bills four spots to seventh and the undefeated Vikings two spots to 11th, while jumping the Patriots 13 spots to 18th and leaving the Titans last. They also expected the Falcons to beat the Ravens in their prime-time matchup and another lopsided result when the Bears face the Packers.

Said on air or in an interview · Good Morning Football (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#67Nick Shook’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Shook said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So that's why at 4-0 they sit at 11.
Nick Shook, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Good Morning Football (podcast)
The episode
#5: Cowboys, Pats rising at quarter mark; unbeaten Vikings fall out of top 10
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 6
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 11–12
  1. 1Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens“we could see some movement from the Ravens and probably more movement from the Falcons as they come out on top”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to beat Packers“they take on the Packers next week, who cannot stop the run... it's a rivalry, and you throw the records out the window with the rivalries, but I have a feeling it's going to be lopsided again.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“Let's take a look at your teams one through eight... up at number one, same as last week, it is the Niners. You got the Chiefs. They are number two. Then Seahawks, Ravens, Broncos, Jags, Bills... And Cowboys. [...] The Bengals down one spot... Bears, the Vikings down two... Raiders... at 12. The Rams, they stood pat at 13. The Carolina Panthers... at 14. Same with the Falcons... at 15. And then the Lions down two at 16. [...] The Browns... remain at 17. The Patriots up 13 spots at 18. You have the Giants, then the Saints, then the Eagles down six spots. The Colts at 22... The Texans up one, and then the Jets down six. [...] You have the Steelers, the Cardinals, the Packers, the Commanders down seven spots, Dolphins, Bucks, Chargers down four spots, and at 32, it's the Titans.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens1Game Outcome PicksRavens 30–23000
Chicago Bears to beat Packers2Game Outcome PicksPackers 31–70100−178
“Let's take a look at your teams one through eight... up at…”3Power Rankings————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Ravens

    What happenedRavens 30–23Ravens at Falcons
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5 · favorite pick, Falcons 61%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    30-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Packers

    What happenedPackers 31–7Bears at Packers
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.78difficulty−178skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −178
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Power Rankings

    “Let's take a look at your teams one through eight... up at number one, same as last week, it is the Niners. You got the Chiefs. They are number two. Then Seahawks, Ravens, Broncos, Jags, Bills... And Cowboys. [...] The Bengals down one spot... Bears, the Vikings down two... Raiders... at 12. The Rams, they stood pat at 13. The Carolina Panthers... at 14. Same with the Falcons... at 15. And then the Lions down two at 16. [...] The Browns... remain at 17. The Patriots up 13 spots at 18. You have the Giants, then the Saints, then the Eagles down six spots. The Colts at 22... The Texans up one, and then the Jets down six. [...] You have the Steelers, the Cardinals, the Packers, the Commanders down seven spots, Dolphins, Bucks, Chargers down four spots, and at 32, it's the Titans.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 50

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