Pat Fitzmaurice Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 2

Apr 19, 2026

Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21.Mock Draft Picks · 10 calls

7 hits · 2 close calls · 1 miss · 7 of 10 graded calls landed

Show the 10 graded calls

Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“They're gonna take Carnel Tate's wide receiver. Ohio State”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 30
“Chris Johnson, cornerback from San Diego State... So he fits into the first round with Miami.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9
“So Francis Mawanoa, the tackle from Miami is going to be the pick here”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“R VIL Reese is still on the board for the Cardinals. Do they take him or go somewhere else. They are going to take him”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15
“Keldric Falk the edge from Auburn. Buccaneers do need an edge.”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 24
“They are going to take Cayden Proctor... So they are going to go with Procter.”
Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 18
“But I'm going to give the Vikings Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle from Ohio State.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12
“How about with Caleb Downs, the safety from Ohio State. What a great runout for Dallas staying put at number twelve”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 21
“Dylan Theeneman. They are going to take the safety from Oregon.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“Caleb Blomo, the tackle from Utah. I think the forty nine ers have to start hatching a plan to replace Trent Williams”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Think this grade is wrong?

Mar 8, 2026

Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati.Mock Draft Picks · 13 calls

6 hits · 4 close calls · 3 waiting · 6 of 10 graded calls landed

Show the 10 graded calls

Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“pick number, thirteen... they are going to take McKay, lemon the wide receiver FROM Usc”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“Yeah so It's love to The commanders, Here, Joe... at Seven”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10
“number ten... The Cincinnati bengals are up... we are going to stop the slide For Rubin bain edge From miami”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28
“Twenty Eight Houston texans... it's Gonna Be, caleb lomu the offensive Tackle From utah”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 19
“carolina panthers on at nineteen... they take A key messador edge Rusher from Miami”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 25
“chicago bears twenty five... it's Gonna Be, caleb banks the defensive Tackle From Florida”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Caleb Banks
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16
“number Sixteen here The jets with their second Pick... they're taking a wide, Receiver Jordan tyson Of Arizona State”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 22
“twenty two we Have The Los angeles Chargers... they're Gonna Take, keldric falk the edge Rusher from auburn”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31
“Thirty One New England patriots... taking tj parker the Edge, from CLEMSON”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“He's going number four to the Tennessee Titans. Linebacker from Ohio State”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 20, 2026

Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. They also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round.Mock Draft Picks, Combine Measurements · 13 calls

4 hits · 9 close calls · 4 of 13 graded calls landed

Show the 13 graded calls

Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)
“I think Johnson probably ends up going in the second round”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
the second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 2
“so I'm going to give them Rubin Bain the edge from Miami... Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17
“The Lions are going to take Cayden Proctor, the massive offensive tackle from Alabama.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32
“they are going to take a cornerback. It's Chris Johnson of San Diego State.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Giants run Selac safety Caleb Downs. The Giants have a lot of pass rushing talent, but they need some help on the back back end”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 26
“Bill's general manager Brandon Bean does not take Dunzel Boston, the receiver from the University of Washington, Bills fans are going to storm team headquarters”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Peter Woods to be picked at number 14
“They are going to select Peter Woods, defensive lineman from Clemson.”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
“He's probably gonna run a four to five at the combine”
Close · 59Scored 58.58a naive guess scored 20.76+37.82 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.11
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average TE (4.71, from 107 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a TE
skill:
37.82
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
result:
4.39
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
58.58
baseline:
20.76
they said:
4.5
sigmas out:
0.77
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“I'm getting the Saints. Jeremiah Love a top guy at a non premium pick position”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 29
“Monroe Freeling was a second team All SEC right tackle for the Georgia Bulldogs last season... Plug and play replacement for Havenstein.”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23
“They're gonna take Kenyon Sidiq, the tight end from Oregon”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11
“Miami is going to take Spencer Fano the tackle from Utah.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20
“giving the Cowboys Clemson edge TJ. Parker... TJ. Parker was going to be available at number twenty in the twenty twenty six draft”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?

Pat Fitzmaurice

Every graded call, continued · page 2