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Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 20, 2026

Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. They also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 13calls landed4 hits · 9 close calls · all settled
69.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 13 calls
47.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13 of 13Settlednone still waiting
#8Pat Fitzmaurice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pat Fitzmaurice said

Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.
Pat Fitzmaurice, the lead quote
The episode
FantasyPros - 2026 NFL First Round Mock Draft 2.0 (Ep. 1961)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 20
  2. GradedAug 18–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks4800
Combine Measurements0100
All4900

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 1 combine measurement — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 69.5 out of 100, against 47.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
14They said
29What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks4 hits · 8 close callsShow ▸
  1. Peter Woods to be picked at number 14

    “They are going to select Peter Woods, defensive lineman from Clemson.”

    Peter WoodsBaltimore Ravens

    Went 29mocked at 14
    52.21Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    “Giants run Selac safety Caleb Downs. The Giants have a lot of pass rushing talent, but they need some help on the back back end”

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    Went 11mocked at 5
    77.11Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    “The Lions are going to take Cayden Proctor, the massive offensive tackle from Alabama.”

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    Went 12mocked at 17
    80.52Hit

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 29

    “Monroe Freeling was a second team All SEC right tackle for the Georgia Bulldogs last season... Plug and play replacement for Havenstein.”

    Monroe FreelingLos Angeles Rams

    Went 19mocked at 29
    64.84Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23

    “They're gonna take Kenyon Sidiq, the tight end from Oregon”

    Kenyon SadiqPhiladelphia Eagles

    Went 16mocked at 23
    73.84Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  6. T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20

    “giving the Cowboys Clemson edge TJ. Parker... TJ. Parker was going to be available at number twenty in the twenty twenty six draft”

    T.J. ParkerDallas Cowboys

    Went 35mocked at 20
    52.21Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11

    “Miami is going to take Spencer Fano the tackle from Utah.”

    Spencer FanoMiami Dolphins

    Went 9mocked at 11
    91.7Hit

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Rueben Bain to be picked at number 2

    “so I'm going to give them Rubin Bain the edge from Miami... Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.”

    Rueben BainNew York Jets

    Went 15mocked at 2
    56.94Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32

    “they are going to take a cornerback. It's Chris Johnson of San Diego State.”

    Chris JohnsonSeattle Seahawks

    Went 27mocked at 32
    80.52Hit

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Denzel Boston to be picked at number 26

    “Bill's general manager Brandon Bean does not take Dunzel Boston, the receiver from the University of Washington, Bills fans are going to storm team headquarters”

    Denzel BostonBuffalo Bills

    Went 39mocked at 26
    56.94Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8

    “I'm getting the Saints. Jeremiah Love a top guy at a non premium pick position”

    Jeremiyah LoveNew Orleans Saints

    Went 3mocked at 8
    80.52Hit

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “I think Johnson probably ends up going in the second round”

    Chris Johnson

    Went 27
    77.11Close

    mock order 81.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.82 × 1 difficulty = +31.82 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    31.82
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    81.82
    Think this is wrong?
Combine Measurements1 close callShow ▸
  1. “He's probably gonna run a four to five at the combine”

    Kenyon Sadiq

    4.39called 4.5
    58.58Close

    58.58 − 20.76 naive = 37.82 × 1 difficulty = +37.82 skill

    How this was scored
    off:
    0.11
    drill:
    forty time
    naive:
    the average TE (4.71, from 107 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a TE
    skill:
    37.82
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    result:
    4.39
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    58.58
    baseline:
    20.76
    they said:
    4.5
    sigmas out:
    0.77
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?

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