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Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 6, 2026

Fitzmaurice names Kyler Murray a fantasy sleeper/value pick for 2026, expecting them to start for the Vikings in Week 1 and outperform their draft cost.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#8Pat Fitzmaurice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pat Fitzmaurice said

The perception might be that Murray is damaged goods, but he could be one of the better QB values in 2026 fantasy drafts.
Our reading: Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football: 8 Quarterback Sleepers (2026)
The original
Read the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 6, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 6
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 17

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    MIN
    week:
    1
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kyler Murray
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    quarterback
    reported:
    named the starter
    naive slot:
    2
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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