Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 19, 2026

Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 10picks landed7 hits · 2 close calls · 1 miss · all settled

89.17The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50

+39.17Skillthe mock as a whole

75.2Per pickaverage, out of 100

#8Pat Fitzmaurice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pat Fitzmaurice said

How about with Caleb Downs, the safety from Ohio State.

Pat Fitzmaurice, the lead quote

Where it was said: FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode: FantasyPros - NFL Mock Draft with Trades + The Best Skill Position Sleepers & Fantasy Landing Spots After Round 1 (Ep. 1998)
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidApr 19
GradedOct 1

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting	Calls
Round 1	7	2	1	0
All	7	2	1	0

How the mock scored

10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 19 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 75.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed.

The mock as a whole

89.17this mock’s order50a shuffled mock39.17better than naive1difficulty+39.17skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting

Round 1 · picks 1–327 hits · 2 close calls · 1 missShow ▸

Pick	Team	Player	Pos	Went	Score
3	ARI	Arvell Reese		5	92
6	CLE	Carnell Tate	wide receiver	4	92
9	KC	Francis Mauigoa	tackle	10	96
12	DAL	Caleb Downs	safety	11	96
15	TB	Keldric Faulk	edge	31	50
18	MIN	Cade McDonald	defensive tackle	UDFA	0
21	PIT	Dillon Thieneman	safety	25	84
24	CLE	Kadyn Proctor	tackle	12	59
27	SF	Caleb Lomu	tackle	28	96
30	MIA	Chris Johnson	cornerback	27	88

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
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Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
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Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
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Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.

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Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.
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In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft.