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Patrick ClaybonDec 9, 2025

Claibon says Aaron Rodgers' deep-passing outburst was a one-week product of Baltimore's defense and won't continue, still endorses starting Jacoby Brissett in a tough Houston matchup, and picks Devon Achane as the top running back and AJ Brown as the top receiver for Week 15.

Said on air or in an interview · The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

50Close · out of 100
Finished #7What happenedcalled #1 · by fantasy points
83.33A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
50This callout of 100
−40.67Skillafter difficulty

What Patrick Claybon said

So congratulations on that week, but I think the time's up there.
Our reading: De'Von Achane to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
The episode
NFL Fantasy Live: Chargers-Eages Recap + Fantasy Playoff Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 9, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Positional FinishesDe'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

    De'Von Achane to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    What happenedFinished #7called #1 · by fantasy points
    50Close · naive 83.33
    50this call83.33a naive guess−33.33worse than naive1.22difficulty−40.67skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −40.67
    player:
    De'Von Achane
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    9
    actual finish:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    4
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.