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Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
Across 9 graded calls in 4 articles, Rich Davis scores 48.57% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -35.26, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 10 calls · one square per call
3hits33% of graded
1Close11%
5misses56%
1
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
9 graded calls in 4 articles, newest first. Every take from Rich Davis, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Rich Davis isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seahawks 21
“I think the Rams step it up, and I think Rams thirty one twenty one.”
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 31–21 calls a Rams win (by 10; the line gave the Rams 44%) and more points (52).
Denver Broncos 20 — Patriots 14
“I think this is an upset special. I think Broncos twenty to fourteen... I think Broncos win twenty fourteen defensive battle.”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 20–14 calls a Broncos win (by 6; the line gave the Broncos about 1 in 3 (36%)) and fewer points (34).
Houston Texans to beat Patriots
“I am going road dog style. I think the Texans win eleven in a row. I like Houston.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Texans 38%.
Buffalo Bills 34 — Broncos 17
“I like Buffalo. I think Josh Allen's a man on a mission... I think Josh Allen thirty four seventeen.”
Closing line (Jan 17): Broncos by 1.5, total 45.5 · this 34–17 calls a Bills win (by 17; the line gave the Bills 48%) and more points (51).
Chicago Bears to beat Rams
“I'm loving the Bears here. I'm going Bears. I think not only they cover, I think they win the game.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Bears about 1 in 3 (36%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“But I mean, let's say I would be already established Steelers are a nine to ten win team easily.”
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams
“the party stops in Philadelphia and the Colt it really does. Yeah, so I'm going Eagles covering. They went by a tuddy, they win the spread.”
Closing line (Jan 19): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Bills
“Again, Raven's more to play for, Raven's super talented, more weapons. Ravens is my pick.”
Closing line (Jan 19): Ravens by 1.5 · a toss-up, Ravens 52%, Bills 48%.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
“I'm gonna go Kavino. My instinct originally was I'm loving CJ. Stroud, but that's my heart ... they may kill the Texans. So I'm going Chiefs.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (81%).