Rich DavisJan 24, 2026

Rich called the Broncos an upset special over the Patriots 20-14 in a defensive game, and had the Rams beating the Seahawks 31-21. They also chose the Falcons for the most wins next season among the three listed teams.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · 1 too vague to check

39.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

71.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settlednone still waiting · 1 too vague to check

0Waitingnot graded yet · 1 too vague to check

What Rich Davis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think Broncos win twenty fourteen defensive battle.

Rich Davis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
The episode: C&R - Championship Picks, Abba & Brainwave!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 23
GradedAug 7–17

1Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seahawks 21“I think the Rams step it up, and I think Rams thirty one twenty one.”
2Denver Broncos 20 — Patriots 14“I think this is an upset special. I think Broncos twenty to fourteen... I think Broncos win twenty fourteen defensive battle.”
3Season Win Totals“I love Frenanda Mendoza, and I want the Raiders to really turn around. They have a tough division. The NFC South stinks Falcons. No brainer.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seahawks 21¹	Score Predictions	—	35.71	95.3	−59.59
Denver Broncos 20 — Patriots 14²	Score Predictions	—	42.86	47.69	−4.83
“I love Frenanda Mendoza, and I want the Raiders to really turn…”³	Season Win Totals	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 too vague to check			39.3	71.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 claims — 2 score predictions and 1 season win total — the 2 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 calls we can check have settled, averaging 39.3 out of 100, against 71.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seahawks 21
VerdictMiss
35.71Miss · naive 95.3
35.71this call95.3a naive guess−59.59worse than naive1difficulty−59.59skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 31–21 calls a Rams win (by 10; the line gave the Rams 44%) and more points (52).
How this was scored
score:
27-31
skill:
−59.59
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
95.3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos 20 — Patriots 14
VerdictClose
42.86Close · naive 47.69
42.86this call47.69a naive guess−4.83worse than naive1difficulty−4.83skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 20–14 calls a Broncos win (by 6; the line gave the Broncos about 1 in 3 (36%)) and fewer points (34).
How this was scored
score:
10-7
skill:
−4.83
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
3Season Win Totals Atlanta Falcons
“I love Frenanda Mendoza, and I want the Raiders to really turn around. They have a tough division. The NFC South stinks Falcons. No brainer.”
VerdictToo vague to check
Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
39.3naive 71.5