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Rich DavisJul 31, 2025

Argued the Steelers are an established nine-to-ten win team this season, and said they'd bet substantial money the 49ers finish better than the Cardinals.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

80Hit · out of 100
10What happenedcalled 9
85A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
80This callout of 100
−10Skillafter difficulty

What Rich Davis said

I would be already established Steelers are a nine to ten win team easily.
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
The episode
C&R - Power Rankings, No Whammies!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 80 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Pittsburgh Steelers · 2025 season · wins

10 calls from 9 pundits between 6 wins and 10 wins. Rich Davis said 9 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. what happened: 10 wins

Rich Davis — 9 winsthe room — 10 calls from 9 punditsmedian 9 winswhat happened — 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

wins
9They said
10What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Season Win TotalsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    What happened10called 9
    80Hit · naive 85
    80this call85a naive guess−5worse than naive2difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    −10
    what happened:
    10
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.