Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show and Overreaction Monday, where he covers the NFL with weekly power rankings, game previews and roster debates. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, draft positioning and player awards across the league.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 463 graded calls in 126 articles, Rich Eisen scores 59.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.14, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

59.61%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

463

Graded calls

across 126 articles. 327 more not yet settled.

97.15% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 463

9 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 13.

Eisen gave his Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year.7 graded calls · Nov 26, 2025
- Drake Maye to win MVP finalist
  “I believe right now, Drake May on your left is a an MVP finalist.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Drake Maye
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
  “And I believe, I believe that's your coach of the year on the right right now... And Mike Vrabel.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  coach_of_the_year
  coach:
  Mike Vrabel
  naive:
  the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
  skill:
  133
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Mike Vrabel
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to beat Vikings
  “They were a top five team. They're eight and three. I believe they're about to go nine and three with Max Brosmer. The undrafted free agent rookie coming in with the Vikings.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SEA
  score:
  0-26
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  SEA
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Power rankings presented by Sonos week 13... Number 10 on my power rankings list... the Dallas Cowboys... Number nine on the list... I'm putting the Lions here... They're eighth on the list... The Ravens are seven... Bears are six. Seahawks, no change... Number four on the list... the Eagles... Number three, no change coming off a bye because the Broncos... up two spots are your patriots... And number one, the Rams are staying”
  Hit · 90Scored 89.7a naive guess scored 45.45+58.84 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  58.84
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  89.7
  baseline:
  45.45
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
  “I mean, is that the offensive player of the year on our screen, Jackson Smith and Jigba? He's certainly in line for it right now.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  offensive_player_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
  skill:
  133
  player:
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to make the playoffs
  “I would choose New England right now and and Philadelphia in the NFC.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NE
  skill:
  133
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
  “You have to look at Philadelphia potentially, because they're eight and three... I would choose New England right now and and Philadelphia in the NFC.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PHI
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  1.33
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  6
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.3 graded calls · Nov 24, 2025
- Los Angeles Rams to win the division
  “Can't come from the NFC West because the Rams are gonna win it, I think.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  1.39
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  7
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- George Pickens to finish top 3 at his position, by receiving yards
  “He's probably the maybe, what, the third best receiver in the NFL this year?”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  139
  player:
  George Pickens
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  receiving yards
  difficulty:
  1.39
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  29
  actual finish:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  7
  predicted finish:
  3
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
  “First of all, Miles Garrett is called game on that right now as we all know... I don't know how Myles Garrett does not wind up defensive player of the year.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  defensive_player_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
  skill:
  139
  player:
  Myles Garrett
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Myles Garrett
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.39
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said the Texans can win the AFC South and make the playoffs, called the Rams the best team in football, predicted Aaron Rodgers will start against the Bears, and said he believes Joe Burrow returns for the Patriots-Bengals game.4 graded calls · Nov 21, 2025
- Houston Texans to win the division
  “I don't think I'm overstating the fact that the Texans can make the playoffs and win their division.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  HOU
  difficulty:
  1.39
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  7
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Houston Texans to make the playoffs
  “the Texans can make the playoffs and win their division”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  HOU
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  1.39
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Joe Burrow to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Patriot Bengals. I I think Burrow's coming back, man.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  CIN
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Joe Burrow
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  1.39
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I think a a Ron is gonna start at the end of the day.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  PIT
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Aaron Rodgers
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1.39
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen delivered his week 12 power rankings, with the Rams first and the Lions tenth, dropping the Chiefs and Chargers off the list. He also predicted the Ravens would win their next several games (an eight-game win streak before facing the Patriots), and picked winners in several hypothetical matchups plus the Bills-Texans game.4 graded calls · Nov 19, 2025
- Buffalo Bills to beat Texans
  “They're at the Texans. This is a winnable game short week on the road. Get it. ... What happens Bills versus Ravens second time around? Bills.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-139 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  HOU
  score:
  19-23
  skill:
  -139
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  HOU
  difficulty:
  1.39
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings
  “I bet you that's an eight game win streak before they face the patriots, Chris. That's the way I'm feeling it.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BAL
  score:
  27-19
  skill:
  139
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  MIN
  difficulty:
  1.39
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to beat San Francisco forty niners
  “Lions versus the San Francisco forty niners. What happens? I think the Lions win.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 22.92-31.86 skill
  How this was scored
  note:
  these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
  skill:
  -31.86
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2025
  ceiling:
  66.67
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  22.92
  opponent:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.39
  the naive guess:
  14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
  weeks in the season:
  18
  right opponent:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  7
  picked won aplayoff game:
  no
  picked reached the playoffs:
  no
  opponent reached the playoffs:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Colts, six. Bills, seven. Ravens, eight. Bears, nine. Lions, 10. ... I'm putting the eagles at two ... And then I'm keeping the rams at one.”
  Close · 79Scored 78.79a naive guess scored 35.76+59.81 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  59.81
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  78.79
  baseline:
  35.76
  difficulty:
  1.39
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  7
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.9 graded calls · Nov 17, 2025
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
  “I still believe Tampa has the guys who have been there and done that... and they should win this division.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  1.44
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina
  “Carolina's next game is, by the way, at San Francisco on a Monday night... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SF
  score:
  9-20
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  SF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
  “They have to win five of those games. Absolutely will. ... Absolutely will.”
  Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+28.8 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  naive:
  11.75
  skill:
  28.8
  what happened:
  6
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  20
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  10
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
  “Makes sense, and this is not an overreaction. [re: Eagles defense carrying them to the NFC championship]”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champions:
  NE,SEA
  difficulty:
  1.44
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
  “Because, again, the Niners are just too far back to be in a position. I think they do make the playoffs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SF
  skill:
  144
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa
  “And Tampa's next game is here against the Rams... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LAR
  score:
  7-34
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
  “the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DET
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
  “the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  GB
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to win the division
  “But at the end of the day, I think the Ravens are going to win the division”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BAL
  difficulty:
  1.44
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen delivered his Week 11 NFL power rankings, placing the Rams first, the Eagles second and the Patriots third, and defended including the 4-5 Ravens and the Chiefs at 10 and 9. He also named Jonathan Taylor his MVP through ten weeks.2 graded calls · Nov 12, 2025
- Jonathan Taylor to win MVP
  “through the first ten weeks, I I I I gotta go with Jonathan Taylor as the MVP of this league”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jonathan Taylor
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Number 10, the four and five Baltimore Ravens are on this list... put up number nine. They are the Chiefs... Los Angeles chargers at eight... They're seventh on the list [Broncos]... Detroit Lions... I'm putting the Colts here... Up one spot, the Seattle Seahawks... I'm putting your patriots here... the Eagles here at two... the Rams for the first time this year are atop my power rankings”
  Hit · 82Scored 81.82a naive guess scored 22.42+85.53 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  85.53
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  81.82
  baseline:
  22.42
  difficulty:
  1.44
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  8
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen predicted the awards would split with Jonathan Taylor taking Offensive Player of the Year and Christian McCaffrey winning Comeback Player of the Year, said the NFC East belongs to the Eagles regardless of the Monday night result, and insisted Aaron Rodgers stays the Steelers' starter rather than Mason Rudolph.4 graded calls · Nov 10, 2025
- Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year
  “Christian McCaffrey gets a highly deserved comeback player of the year award”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  comeback_player_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
  skill:
  150
  player:
  Christian McCaffrey
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Christian McCaffrey
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
  “Eagles less so because that division, I think, is theirs regardless of a win or loss Monday night.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1.5
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Like, you're not benching Rodgers going into Chicago... Mason Rudolph is there in case of emergency.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  PIT
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Aaron Rodgers
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1.5
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
  “Jonathan Taylor, best running back gets offensive player of the year”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  offensive_player_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jonathan Taylor
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen says Jaxon Smith-Njigba is threatening a 2,000-yard receiving season, and defends ranking the Chiefs as a top-third (No. 10) team in his power rankings, with Denver at three and Bills at six.Nov 5, 2025
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards
  “your guy, JSN, he's threatening a 2,000 yard receiving season. That's how amazing he has been.”
  Close · 79Scored 79.3a naive guess scored 0+118.95 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  739.87
  skill:
  118.95
  what happened:
  1793
  player:
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  79.3
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  2000
  statistic:
  receiving_yards
  difficulty:
  1.5
  last season:
  1130
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  position average:
  349.73
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen delivered his Week 10 power rankings, topped by the Eagles, and reiterated his season picks: the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and the Lions winning the NFC. He also floated that Baker Mayfield could become the first quarterback to top $60 million per year, and expected the Colts to keep Daniel Jones as their quarterback going forward.4 graded calls · Nov 5, 2025
- Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
  “The Lions are still really damn good. Again, I have them winning the NFC. And that's your Super Bowl.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champions:
  NE,SEA
  difficulty:
  1.5
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “My week 10 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number nine on this list, I knocked them down all the way from one. The lions... Number eight, down five spots are the Packers... Number seven, down five spots are the Indianapolis Colts... I moved them up three spots to six [Bills]... Number five, new to the list [Seahawks]... The New England Patriots are four... Number three... the Broncos... Up five spots. I'm putting the Rams here... And then number one... the Eagles”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.03a naive guess scored 23.64+89.09 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  89.09
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.03
  baseline:
  23.64
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
  “Plus, I have them winning the Super Bowl this year, and I'm not dropping them out of my power rankings just because of this.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1.5
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
  “clearly, they they have to think Daniel Jones is their quarterback moving forward... It is Daniel Jones.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  IND
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Daniel Jones
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1.5
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  9
  Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen

Graded calls · 463

9 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 13.

Eisen gave his Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year.7 graded calls · Nov 26, 2025

Drake Maye to win MVP finalist
“I believe right now, Drake May on your left is a an MVP finalist.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
“And I believe, I believe that's your coach of the year on the right right now... And Mike Vrabel.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike Vrabel
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
133
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Vikings
“They were a top five team. They're eight and three. I believe they're about to go nine and three with Max Brosmer. The undrafted free agent rookie coming in with the Vikings.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
0-26
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
“Power rankings presented by Sonos week 13... Number 10 on my power rankings list... the Dallas Cowboys... Number nine on the list... I'm putting the Lions here... They're eighth on the list... The Ravens are seven... Bears are six. Seahawks, no change... Number four on the list... the Eagles... Number three, no change coming off a bye because the Broncos... up two spots are your patriots... And number one, the Rams are staying”
Hit · 90Scored 89.7a naive guess scored 45.45+58.84 skill
How this was scored
skill:
58.84
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
89.7
baseline:
45.45
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I mean, is that the offensive player of the year on our screen, Jackson Smith and Jigba? He's certainly in line for it right now.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
skill:
133
player:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
season:
2025
winner:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“I would choose New England right now and and Philadelphia in the NFC.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+133 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
133
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“You have to look at Philadelphia potentially, because they're eight and three... I would choose New England right now and and Philadelphia in the NFC.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.33
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
6
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.3 graded calls · Nov 24, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“Can't come from the NFC West because the Rams are gonna win it, I think.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.39
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
George Pickens to finish top 3 at his position, by receiving yards
“He's probably the maybe, what, the third best receiver in the NFL this year?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
How this was scored
skill:
139
player:
George Pickens
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving yards
difficulty:
1.39
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
29
actual finish:
3
weeks left when called:
7
predicted finish:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“First of all, Miles Garrett is called game on that right now as we all know... I don't know how Myles Garrett does not wind up defensive player of the year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
skill:
139
player:
Myles Garrett
season:
2025
winner:
Myles Garrett
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said the Texans can win the AFC South and make the playoffs, called the Rams the best team in football, predicted Aaron Rodgers will start against the Bears, and said he believes Joe Burrow returns for the Patriots-Bengals game.4 graded calls · Nov 21, 2025

Houston Texans to win the division
“I don't think I'm overstating the fact that the Texans can make the playoffs and win their division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
HOU
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.39
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“the Texans can make the playoffs and win their division”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Burrow to be 1st on the depth chart
“Patriot Bengals. I I think Burrow's coming back, man.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
0
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.39
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think a a Ron is gonna start at the end of the day.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.39
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen delivered his week 12 power rankings, with the Rams first and the Lions tenth, dropping the Chiefs and Chargers off the list. He also predicted the Ravens would win their next several games (an eight-game win streak before facing the Patriots), and picked winners in several hypothetical matchups plus the Bills-Texans game.4 graded calls · Nov 19, 2025

Buffalo Bills to beat Texans
“They're at the Texans. This is a winnable game short week on the road. Get it. ... What happens Bills versus Ravens second time around? Bills.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-139 skill
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
19-23
skill:
-139
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings
“I bet you that's an eight game win streak before they face the patriots, Chris. That's the way I'm feeling it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
27-19
skill:
139
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to beat San Francisco forty niners
“Lions versus the San Francisco forty niners. What happens? I think the Lions win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 22.92-31.86 skill
How this was scored
note:
these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
skill:
-31.86
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
ceiling:
66.67
accuracy:
0
baseline:
22.92
opponent:
SF
difficulty:
1.39
the naive guess:
14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
weeks in the season:
18
right opponent:
no
weeks left when called:
7
picked won aplayoff game:
no
picked reached the playoffs:
no
opponent reached the playoffs:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
“Colts, six. Bills, seven. Ravens, eight. Bears, nine. Lions, 10. ... I'm putting the eagles at two ... And then I'm keeping the rams at one.”
Close · 79Scored 78.79a naive guess scored 35.76+59.81 skill
How this was scored
skill:
59.81
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
78.79
baseline:
35.76
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.9 graded calls · Nov 17, 2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I still believe Tampa has the guys who have been there and done that... and they should win this division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.44
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina
“Carolina's next game is, by the way, at San Francisco on a Monday night... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
9-20
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
“They have to win five of those games. Absolutely will. ... Absolutely will.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+28.8 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
28.8
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“Makes sense, and this is not an overreaction. [re: Eagles defense carrying them to the NFC championship]”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1.44
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“Because, again, the Niners are just too far back to be in a position. I think they do make the playoffs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
144
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa
“And Tampa's next game is here against the Rams... they both have tough games at NFC West teams. I I I believe they're both gonna lose those games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
7-34
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“the West will get three in, the North will get two in, and the Packers and the Lions will be the two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“But at the end of the day, I think the Ravens are going to win the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.44
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen delivered his Week 11 NFL power rankings, placing the Rams first, the Eagles second and the Patriots third, and defended including the 4-5 Ravens and the Chiefs at 10 and 9. He also named Jonathan Taylor his MVP through ten weeks.2 graded calls · Nov 12, 2025

Jonathan Taylor to win MVP
“through the first ten weeks, I I I I gotta go with Jonathan Taylor as the MVP of this league”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
“Number 10, the four and five Baltimore Ravens are on this list... put up number nine. They are the Chiefs... Los Angeles chargers at eight... They're seventh on the list [Broncos]... Detroit Lions... I'm putting the Colts here... Up one spot, the Seattle Seahawks... I'm putting your patriots here... the Eagles here at two... the Rams for the first time this year are atop my power rankings”
Hit · 82Scored 81.82a naive guess scored 22.42+85.53 skill
How this was scored
skill:
85.53
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
81.82
baseline:
22.42
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen predicted the awards would split with Jonathan Taylor taking Offensive Player of the Year and Christian McCaffrey winning Comeback Player of the Year, said the NFC East belongs to the Eagles regardless of the Monday night result, and insisted Aaron Rodgers stays the Steelers' starter rather than Mason Rudolph.4 graded calls · Nov 10, 2025

Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Christian McCaffrey gets a highly deserved comeback player of the year award”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
150
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2025
winner:
Christian McCaffrey
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“Eagles less so because that division, I think, is theirs regardless of a win or loss Monday night.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
“Like, you're not benching Rodgers going into Chicago... Mason Rudolph is there in case of emergency.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.5
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Jonathan Taylor, best running back gets offensive player of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2025
winner:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen says Jaxon Smith-Njigba is threatening a 2,000-yard receiving season, and defends ranking the Chiefs as a top-third (No. 10) team in his power rankings, with Denver at three and Bills at six.Nov 5, 2025

Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards
“your guy, JSN, he's threatening a 2,000 yard receiving season. That's how amazing he has been.”
Close · 79Scored 79.3a naive guess scored 0+118.95 skill
How this was scored
naive:
739.87
skill:
118.95
what happened:
1793
player:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
season:
2025
accuracy:
79.3
baseline:
0
predicted:
2000
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
1.5
last season:
1130
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
position average:
349.73
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen delivered his Week 10 power rankings, topped by the Eagles, and reiterated his season picks: the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and the Lions winning the NFC. He also floated that Baker Mayfield could become the first quarterback to top $60 million per year, and expected the Colts to keep Daniel Jones as their quarterback going forward.4 graded calls · Nov 5, 2025

Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“The Lions are still really damn good. Again, I have them winning the NFC. And that's your Super Bowl.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
“My week 10 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number nine on this list, I knocked them down all the way from one. The lions... Number eight, down five spots are the Packers... Number seven, down five spots are the Indianapolis Colts... I moved them up three spots to six [Bills]... Number five, new to the list [Seahawks]... The New England Patriots are four... Number three... the Broncos... Up five spots. I'm putting the Rams here... And then number one... the Eagles”
Hit · 83Scored 83.03a naive guess scored 23.64+89.09 skill
How this was scored
skill:
89.09
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.03
baseline:
23.64
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“Plus, I have them winning the Super Bowl this year, and I'm not dropping them out of my power rankings just because of this.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“clearly, they they have to think Daniel Jones is their quarterback moving forward... It is Daniel Jones.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.5
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
9
Think this grade is wrong?