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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 30, 2025

Rich Eisen told a Seahawks fan that Sam Darnold would play well but Seattle would still lose Saturday night's game in San Francisco, saying the game is the Niners' to take.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

Sam's gonna play a good game, but I don't think you win.
Our reading: San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks
The episode
Hour 3: Overreaction Tuesday, Seahawks-49ers Predictions, plus Comedian Kumail Nanjiani In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidDec 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · underdog pick, 49ers 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    13-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

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