Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 29, 2025

Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 10calls landed7 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled

73.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 10 calls

74A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

10 of 10Settlednone still waiting

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division

Rich Eisen, the lead quote

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 17: 49ers, Patriots, Lions, Steelers-Ravens Stakes & More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidDec 29, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses
Game Outcome Picks	2	0	1
Division Winners	1	0	0
Seeding, Byes and Home Field	1	0	0
Season Win Totals	1	1	0
Award Picks	0	0	1
Depth Chart Calls	2	0	0
All	7	1	2

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

10 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 2 depth chart calls, 2 season win totals, 1 award pick, 1 division winner and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 73.2 out of 100, against 74 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks2 hits · 1 missShow ▸

Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers
“Who are you picking? In this one? ... I'm my early thoughts would be the Ravens.”
Baltimore Ravens
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1.11 difficulty = −111 skill
Closing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 2 in 3 (66%).
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
24-26
skill:
−111
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to beat Jets
“because I think the Bills, even without Josh Allen, are gonna beat the Jets in their final home game”
Buffalo Bills
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.11 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Jan 4): Bills by 12.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 6 in 7 (85%).
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
8-35
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Titans
“because I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division”
Jacksonville Jaguars
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.11 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Jan 4): Jaguars by 12.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 6 in 7 (85%).
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
7-41
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?

Division Winners1 hitShow ▸

Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division and doesn't matter what Houston does against Indianapolis week 18”
Jacksonville Jaguars
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.11 difficulty = +111 skill
How this was scored
skill:
111
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?

Seeding, Byes and Home Field1 hitShow ▸

Los Angeles Chargers to take the top seed
“I I think they're gonna wind up maybe being the seventh seed in the AFC”
Los Angeles Chargers
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.11 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
checked as:
seeds 5–7 visit a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
actual tier:
visitor
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (visitor)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
7
claimed tier:
visitor
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals1 hit · 1 close callShow ▸

New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins
“having him over five hundred next season is a tall order ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now ... I look at this Saints team as having a a nice 2026.”
New Orleans Saints
6called 9
40Close
40 − 85 naive = −45 × 1.11 difficulty = −49.95 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
−49.95
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
85
they said:
9
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
“The Vikings might finish above 500.”
Minnesota Vikings
9called 9
100Hit
100 − 55 naive = 45 × 1.11 difficulty = +49.95 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
49.95
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
55
they said:
9
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?

Award Picks1 missShow ▸

Tyler Shough to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Is is 100% in play. ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now. Certainly, when you could see, how Shuck has performed”
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints
Tetairoa McMillan woncalled Tyler Shough
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.11 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
who won:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls2 hitsShow ▸

Jared Goff to be 1st on the depth chart
“They're gonna go into 2026 with golf 100%.”
Jared Goff Detroit Lions
No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.11 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
club:
DET
skill:
0
player:
Jared Goff
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.11
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“He's gonna be starting somewhere next year. I think that's, without a doubt.”
Malik Willis
No. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67Hit
91.67 − 100 naive = −8.33 × 1.11 difficulty = −9.25 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
−9.25
player:
Malik Willis
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.11
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.
Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.