Loading…
Loading…
Writes at Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
Is Ryan Grim accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 3 articles, Ryan Grim scores 68.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 50.33, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“Ryan was this your mount basically. / More or less. I think I had Nevada going to Trump.”
“Yeah, so you added actually two seventy two sixty eight right, like as narrow as possible. Yep, got it”
“I think that Kamala ends up holding Pennsylvania, Michigan, in Wisconsin and losing basically everything else.”
“I think that Kamala ends up holding Pennsylvania, Michigan, in Wisconsin and losing basically everything else.”
“Yeah, that would give her exactly to seventy right”
“I think that Kamala ends up holding Pennsylvania, Michigan, in Wisconsin and losing basically everything else.”
“Assuming Democrats lose Montana. We already know that they're going to lose West Virginia.”