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Seth RollinsJul 17, 2025

Rollins suggested Ja'Marr Chase could top 2,000 receiving yards this season, and argued Puka Nacua belongs in the top 10 (or top six) of receivers while Garrett Wilson and Tyreek Hill are too high. They also picked the Bears to beat the 49ers in Week 16 and predicted Rashee Rice will get at least a four-game suspension.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed2 close calls · 1 miss · all settled
36Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
48.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Seth Rollins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He, you know, he could go for 2,000 this season.
Seth Rollins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Quarterback And Wide Receiver Power Rankings With Seth Rollins
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJul 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Ja'Marr Chase to record 2,000 receiving yards“He, you know, he could go for 2,000 this season.”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to beat niners“So week 16, your bears come to play my niners... Bear up, bear down. You don't stand a chance.”
  3. 3Puka Nacua to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards“You could have had Puka in the top six.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ja'Marr Chase to record 2,000 receiving yards1Player Season Numbers1,41241.245.73−9.06
Chicago Bears to beat niners2Game Outcome Picks—0100−200
Puka Nacua to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards3Positional FinishesFinished #266.670+133.33
3 calls · 2 close calls · 1 miss · all settled3648.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 player season number and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 36 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

receiving yards
2,000They said
1,412What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Player Season NumbersJa'Marr Chase

    Ja'Marr Chase to record 2,000 receiving yards

    What happened1,412called 2,000
    41.2Close · naive 45.73
    41.2this call45.73a naive guess−4.53worse than naive2difficulty−9.06skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    1028.87
    skill:
    −9.06
    what happened:
    1412
    player:
    Ja'Marr Chase
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    41.2
    baseline:
    45.73
    they said:
    2000
    statistic:
    receiving_yards
    difficulty:
    2
    last season:
    1708
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    position average:
    349.73
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat niners

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    38-42
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Positional FinishesPuka Nacua

    Puka Nacua to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards

    What happenedFinished #2called #6 · by receiving yards
    66.67Close · naive 0
    66.67this call0a naive guess66.67better than naive2difficulty+133.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    133.33
    player:
    Puka Nacua
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    ranked by:
    receiving yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    24
    actual finish:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    36naive 48.6

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

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