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Seth RollinsJul 17, 2025

Guest host Seth Rollins said the Steelers, whom they had placed in their top 10, will be good and will push Baltimore and Cincinnati, but remain the third-best team in the AFC North.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

75Close · out of 100
Ranked #12What happenedcalled #10
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
75This callout of 100
−50Skillafter difficulty

What Seth Rollins said

I think they're still the third best team in that division, but, they will push, Baltimore and and Cincinnati.
Seth Rollins’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
Seth Rollins Ranks His Top 10 Finishing Moves In Wrestling
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidJul 17, 2025
  2. GradedOct 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 75 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

10They said
12What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Power Rankings

    “Well, you know, I put them in my top 10 yesterday. I did put them there. I think they're gonna be a good team.”

    What happenedRanked #12called #10
    75Close · naive 100
    75this call100a naive guess−25worse than naive2difficulty−50skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    finishes where it finished last season (12)
    skill:
    −50
    season:
    2025
    window:
    top 10
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    100
    settled by:
    final standings: win percentage, then point differential
    actual rank:
    12
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    clubs ranked:
    32
    predicted rank:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    18
    zero at places out:
    8
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More power rankings

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