Skip to main content

Seth RollinsJul 16, 2025

Guest-hosting the show, Seth Rollins gave their top-10 NFL power rankings for 2025, topped by the Chicago Bears, and predicted Caleb Williams wins MVP and Ben Johnson wins Coach of the Year. They also said the Steelers will finish .500 or better and expects Lamar Jackson to win a Super Bowl within the next couple of years.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
26.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
46.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Seth Rollins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Chicago Bears, the team to beat in the NFL 2025.
Seth Rollins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Power Rankings With Seth Rollins
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJul 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Washington Commanders to win the division“I think they're the class of the NFC East.”
  2. 2Caleb Williams to win MVP“Caleb for MVP.”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins“We know this Steelers team finishes at 500 or better every year no matter what... So I think you add in a few extra wins to that”
  4. 4Power Rankings“my twenty twenty five NFL power rankings... we're gonna start at 10... Aaron Rodgers is going to make a difference in Pittsburgh... San Francisco forty niners at nine... the Cincinnati Bengals... The Detroit Lions at seven... the Washington Commanders... The Buffalo Bills at number five... Kansas City Chiefs. Four... Number three, I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens... number two, the Philadelphia Eagles... Number one... The Chicago Bears”
  5. 5Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year“Ben Johnson coach of the year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Washington Commanders to win the division1Division Winners—0100−200
Caleb Williams to win MVP2Award PicksMatthew Stafford won000
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins3Season Win Totals108085−10
“my twenty twenty five NFL power rankings... we're gonna start…”4Power Rankings—54.5545.45+18.18
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year5Coach Award PicksMike Vrabel won000
5 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled26.946.1

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 coach award pick, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 26.9 out of 100, against 46.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Caleb Williams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Season Win TotalsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    What happened10called 9
    80Hit · naive 85
    80this call85a naive guess−5worse than naive2difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    −10
    what happened:
    10
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Power Rankings

    “my twenty twenty five NFL power rankings... we're gonna start at 10... Aaron Rodgers is going to make a difference in Pittsburgh... San Francisco forty niners at nine... the Cincinnati Bengals... The Detroit Lions at seven... the Washington Commanders... The Buffalo Bills at number five... Kansas City Chiefs. Four... Number three, I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens... number two, the Philadelphia Eagles... Number one... The Chicago Bears”

    VerdictClose
    54.55Close · naive 45.45
    54.55this call45.45a naive guess9.1better than naive2difficulty+18.18skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    18.18
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    54.55
    baseline:
    45.45
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Coach Award Picks

    Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Ben Johnson
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Ben Johnson
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    26.9naive 46.1

Others on the same people

More coach award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.