Seth Rollins· Jul 16, 2025

Guest-hosting the show, Seth Rollins gave his top-10 NFL power rankings for 2025, topped by the Chicago Bears, and predicted Caleb Williams wins MVP and Ben Johnson wins Coach of the Year. He also said the Steelers will finish .500 or better and expects Lamar Jackson to win a Super Bowl within the next couple of years.

“Chicago Bears, the team to beat in the NFL 2025.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 coach award pick, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 26.9 out of 100, against 46.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Division Winners Washington CommandersJul 16, 2025
Washington Commanders to win the division
“I think they're the class of the NFC East.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
WAS
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Caleb Williams Chicago BearsJul 16, 2025
Caleb Williams to win MVP
“Caleb for MVP.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Pittsburgh SteelersJul 16, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“We know this Steelers team finishes at 500 or better every year no matter what... So I think you add in a few extra wins to that”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
-10
what happened:
10
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsJul 16, 2025
“my twenty twenty five NFL power rankings... we're gonna start at 10... Aaron Rodgers is going to make a difference in Pittsburgh... San Francisco forty niners at nine... the Cincinnati Bengals... The Detroit Lions at seven... the Washington Commanders... The Buffalo Bills at number five... Kansas City Chiefs. Four... Number three, I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens... number two, the Philadelphia Eagles... Number one... The Chicago Bears”
Close · 55Scored 54.55a naive guess scored 45.45+18.18 skill
How this was scored
skill:
18.18
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
54.55
baseline:
45.45
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award PicksJul 16, 2025
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
“Ben Johnson coach of the year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Ben Johnson
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0
Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0
Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100
Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
Adam ChudwinGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100
In his annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago.
John BreechGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100
A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.
David HarrisonGame Outcome Picks · Washington CommandersHit · 100
Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable.

More coach award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More coach award picks

Discussed alongside these