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Tyler Sullivan· Nov 5, 2026

Sullivan's Week 9 game-by-game score predictions include the Chiefs over the Jets, Saints over the Browns, Texans over the Chargers and Broncos over the Panthers.

“Chiefs 30, Jets 20”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 77.4 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsHouston TexansNov 5, 2026

    Houston Texans 24 — Chargers 20

    “Texans 24, Chargers 20”

    Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+89.14 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    89.14
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Texans by 4) and more points (44).

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  • Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsNov 5, 2026

    New Orleans Saints 24 — Browns 20

    “Saints 24, Browns 20”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 97.97-7.97 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −7.97
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    97.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Saints by 4) and more points (44).

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  • Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsNov 5, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Jets 20

    “Chiefs 30, Jets 20”

    Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 50+29.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    29.71
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    69.05
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 10) and more points (50).

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  • Score PredictionsDenver BroncosNov 5, 2026

    Denver Broncos 21 — Panthers 20

    “Broncos 21, Panthers 20”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 38.44+81.17 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    81.17
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    1

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Broncos by 1) and fewer points (41).

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