Tyler Sullivan· Nov 5, 2026
Sullivan takes the Jaguars over the Ravens on Thursday and expects the Bears to beat the Buccaneers for their fourth straight win.
“which sets up Chicago to win its fourth straight game”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 81 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Jaguars at Ravens 25 calls
- Buccaneers at Bears 23 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsNov 5, 2026
Chicago Bears 28 — Buccaneers 20
“Tyler Sullivan — Bears (-6.5) 28-20 over Buccaneers.”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 93.16-7.9 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- −7.9
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 93.16
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 8
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 8) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsNov 5, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Ravens 16
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Jaguars 28-16 over Ravens”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 0+115.14 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 33-10
- skill:
- 115.14
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 73.81
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.38
- predicted margin:
- 12
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 28–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 12) and more points (44).
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 100Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 55Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.
- Michael HanichScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 81Predicts a 24-18 Seahawks victory, with Drew Lock steadying the offense and the running game improving.