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Walt writes for Walter Football, covering NFL draft projections, weekly game picks against the spread, and fantasy rankings. The predictions touch teams including the Raiders, 49ers, Rams, Giants, Jets, Saints, Vikings and Patriots. Player-level calls have addressed Tre Tucker, A.J. Brown and Sam Darnold, among others.
More about Walt ↓Writes at Walter Football
Across 8 graded calls in 5 articles, Walt scores 43.33% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -32.04, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 793 calls · one square per 5 calls
3hits38% of graded
1Close13%
4misses50%
785
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
Teams and players where Walt keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Walt writes for Walter Football, covering NFL draft projections, weekly game picks against the spread, and fantasy rankings. The predictions touch teams including the Raiders, 49ers, Rams, Giants, Jets, Saints, Vikings and Patriots. Player-level calls have addressed Tre Tucker, A.J. Brown and Sam Darnold, among others.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
8 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from Walt, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Walt isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“the Raiders need to find a much younger, sharp, offensive-minded coach to take the team into their next era, which includes Fernando Mendoza as the presumed No. 1 overall pick (check out our 2026 NFL Mock Draft.)”
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 2
“Doug Nussmeier's son, Garrett, is a potential top-10 draft choice... Garrett Nussmeier is currently the No. 2 pick in my 2026 NFL Mock Draft.”
Dallas Cowboys 38 — Buccaneers 17
“Week 5 NFL Pick: Cowboys 38, Buccaneers 17”
Closing line (Oct 8): Cowboys by 9.5, total 49.5 · this 38–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 21) and more points (55).
Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Browns 16
“Week 4 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Browns 16”
Closing line (Oct 1): Steelers by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and fewer points (36).
Durham Smythe to be cut
“It wouldn't surprise me if he didn't make the 53-man roster.”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Why would the Raiders sign Kirk Cousins for $20 million when they're just going to draft Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall?”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
“they were expected to lose to the Lions and beat the Cardinals even with him”
Houston Texans to beat Jaguars
“Not having Campbell will make defeating the Texans extremely difficult, but this is a game Jacksonville is likely to lose anyway.”