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Clarence HillSep 3, 2026

Clarence predicted an 11-6 Cowboys season, picking wins over the Giants, Commanders, Ravens, Packers, Cardinals, Colts and Titans while giving losses to Houston, Tampa Bay, both Eagles games, the 49ers, Seahawks and Rams.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 8calls landed2 hits · 6 misses · 6 waiting
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls
37.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
11Games calledeveryone’s picks below
6Waitingnot graded yet

What Clarence Hill said

So, Clarence, you have eleven and six. That's what I picked.
Clarence Hill, the lead quote
The episode
Cowboys Ace Their Tough Decisions, Record Predictions & More Defensive Optimism
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 3
  2. PlayedSep 13–Nov 1
  3. GradedSep 15–Nov 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks2063
Trade and Signing Calls0001
Season Win Totals0002
All2066

How each call scored

14 checkable claims — 11 game outcome picks, 2 season win totals and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 25 out of 100, against 37.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks2 hits · 6 misses · 3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “I got the card. I got the Cowboys.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cardinals 33–30Cardinals at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys

    “Yeah. I got Eagles winning on the road.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers

    “I'm a go with the Cowboys.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cowboys

    “I think this is one of those trap games that they could lose. I'm going with Tampa.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Buccaneers 24–16Buccaneers at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    24-16
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Houston Texans to beat Cowboys

    “I got the Texas winning the Texas Super Bowl.”

    Houston Texans

    Cowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    34-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Dallas Cowboys to beat Baltimore Ravens

    “So what's your pick? Got the key I got the Cowboys.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Ravens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington commanders

    “But, yeah, Cowboys win big at home.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants

    “They're gonna beat the Johns.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. San Francisco 49ers to beat Cowboys

    “I'm a say the forty niners win.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  10. Seattle Seahawks to beat Cowboys

    “I gotta beat the Seahawks. I mean, no lose to the Seahawks.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  11. Los Angeles Rams to beat Cowboys

    “Yeah. I I gotta lose it around too. Is that where we at? With the Rams.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Micah Parsons to move to Green Bay Packers

    “I think Jordan Micah's gonna play. He's already circled this game.”

    Micah ParsonsGreen Bay Packers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to finish with 11 wins

    “So, Clarence, you have eleven and six. That's what I picked.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Baltimore Ravens to finish with 11 wins

    “No. The Ravens are gonna win 11 or 12 games if Lamar is healthy.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.