Bobby SkinnerMar 6, 2025
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Bobby Skinner said
Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick
- Where it was said
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Free Agency PREDICTIONS
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMar 5, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Nov 10, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade and Signing Calls | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player Season Numbers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
How each call scored
14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 28.8 out of 100, against 40.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Trade and Signing Calls2 hits · 8 misses · 2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jevon Holland to move
“I had him as a bronco like they just get They just want to keep on against stronger and stronger.”
Ended up with NYG0Miss0 − 55 naive = −55 × 2 difficulty = −110 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −110
- player:
- Jevon Holland
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 55
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Stefon Diggs to move to Houston Texans
“I had him staying with the Texans.”
Ended up with NE0Miss0 − 55 naive = −55 × 2 difficulty = −110 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −110
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- HOU
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 55
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Khalil Mack to move to Chicago Bears
“You told you you took my my number one reunion? I had him going back to the Bears.”
Ended up with LACcalled CHI0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Khalil Mack
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- CHI
- was with:
- LAC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LAC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Haason Reddick to move to Washington Commanders
“I'm gonna go Husan Reddick to the commanders ... He's a great fit with the commander.”
Ended up with TBcalled WAS0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Haason Reddick
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- WAS
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- TB
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“There's two options, the Chargers and the Steelers. I'm going Chargers. That's who I had”
Ended up with NYGcalled LAC0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Darius Slayton
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LAC
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Davante Adams to move to New York Giants
“I'm doubling up. We're discount doubling up. Davante Adams to the New York Giants.”
Ended up with LARcalled NYG0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Davante Adams
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- LV/NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LAR
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants
“Aaron Rodgers is the next New York Giants quarterback.”
Ended up with PITcalled NYG0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- PIT
- weeks left when called:
- 18
D.J. Reed to move to Arizona Cardinals
“DJ Reed to the Arizona Cardinals. They have a lot of cap space”
Ended up with DETcalled ARI0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- D.J. Reed
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- ARI
- was with:
- NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- DET
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Milton Williams to move to New England Patriots
“I'm taking another swing, Milton Williams to the Patriots”
Ended up with NEcalled NE100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Milton Williams
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- PHI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
“Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick”
Ended up with INDcalled IND100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Daniel Jones
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- IND
- was with:
- NYG/MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- IND
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“my real pick is going to be a layup Justin Fields to the Steelers. It seems like he's staying there”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Lavonte David to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“So I'm going Levante David back to the Bucks. He signs one year deals every year.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“If he may best quarterback and like he's going to win the jobs”
No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Daniel Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Player Season Numbers1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Josh Downs to record 80 receptions
“he's gonna have a facelift in that. Like Josh Downs eighty catches.”
58called 8045Close45 − 71.82 naive = −26.82 × 2 difficulty = −53.63 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 49.83
- skill:
- −53.63
- what happened:
- 58
- player:
- Josh Downs
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 45
- baseline:
- 71.82
- they said:
- 80
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 27.65
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Who this take is about
Jevon Holland, Stefon Diggs, Houston Texans, Khalil Mack, Chicago Bears, Haason Reddick, Washington Commanders, Darius Slayton, Los Angeles Chargers, Davante Adams, New York Giants, Aaron Rodgers, D.J. Reed, Arizona Cardinals, Milton Williams, New England Patriots, Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts, Josh Downs, Justin Fields, Pittsburgh Steelers, Lavonte David, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.