Cowboys vs Texans predictions, graded
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans · Week 4, 2026 · Sun, Oct 4 · Final: Cowboys 34, Texans 30 · Updated
Who do pundits pick in Cowboys vs Texans? Of 27 pundits with a call on record, 17 take the Texans and 10 take the Cowboys. 15 named a score; the median has the Cowboys by 1. The Cowboys won 34-30, so 10 of 27 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 50 out of 100.
Who the room took
27 pundits · each counted once, by their latest callCowboys vs Texans picks by outlet
Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.
- CBS SportsTexans 4, Cowboys 1
- Nightcap (podcast)Texans 3, Cowboys 1
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Texans 2, Cowboys 1
- Fox SportsTexans 1, Cowboys 1
The other 13 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Texans 7, Cowboys 6.
Cowboys vs Texans score predictions
15 pundits named a score; the median call is Cowboys by 1, and the final was Cowboys by 4.
Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.
- Bobby KownackCowboys 28, Texans 27Hit · 93
- Brooke CersosimoCowboys 25, Texans 23Hit · 95
- Gennaro FiliceTexans 28, Cowboys 17Miss · 33
- Jeremy PargoCowboys 24, Texans 20Hit · 100
- Dan ParrTexans 27, Cowboys 23Close · 50
- Pamela MaldonadoCowboys 24, Texans 23Hit · 93
- Seth WalderTexans 27, Cowboys 26Close · 43
- Eric MoodyCowboys 23, Texans 19Hit · 100
- John BreechTexans 23, Cowboys 20Close · 48
- Chris SimmsCowboys 21, Texans 17Hit · 100
- Jared DubinTexans 24, Cowboys 21Close · 48
- Jordan DajaniTexans 30, Cowboys 26Close · 50
- Tyler SullivanCowboys 27, Texans 23Hit · 100
- Pete PriscoTexans 24, Cowboys 18Close · 45
- Bucky BrooksCowboys 31, Texans 24Hit · 93
Cowboys at Texans: how they came in
The Cowboys are 1-2; the Texans are 0-3 and have lost 3 straight. On win totals, 23 pundits put the Cowboys at 9.5 wins on average, and 20 pundits put the Texans at 10.2 wins on average.
NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
- Record coming in
- 1-2 · 88 scored, 82 allowed
- Last games
- L 31-34 vs Ravens Week 3
- W 37-20 vs Commanders Week 2
- L 20-28 at Giants Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 9th, defense 29th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 7-9-1
- Win-total calls
- 23 pundits · average 9.5 · 2 to 14 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 2 of 3 Cowboys games
- Record coming in
- 0-3 · lost 3 straight · 54 scored, 75 allowed
- Last games
- L 17-19 at Colts Week 3
- L 6-20 vs Bengals Week 2
- L 31-36 vs Bills Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 7th, defense 10th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 12-5
- Win-total calls
- 22 pundits · average 10.2 · 1 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 0 of 3 Texans games
Cowboys and Texans players to watch
Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.
Cowboys
- Dak PrescottStarting QB · QB
2,381 passing yards · 16 TD, 5 INT · 64.9% completions · 102 rushing yards · 9 games · 3rd in the NFL in passing yards
Dak Prescott to stay with Dallas Cowboys
“QB Dak Prescott, Cowboys ... the dozen players that most likely won't be traded” the article →
Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (the middle rounds)
“Dak Prescott seems primed for another big season ... quarterbacks he loves to target in the middle rounds of fantasy football drafts” the article →
- Javonte WilliamsRB1 · RB
629 rushing yards on 154 carries · 10 TD · 24 catches for 127 · 9 games · 9th in the NFL in rushing yards
Javonte Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“If Williams can post production as he did over the first half of the 2025 season for an entire year, he is a locked-in top-10 back with top-5 upside. At his floor, he looks like a low-end RB1 or top 15 fantasy back.” the article →
Javonte Williams to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points
“Why is Javonte Williams getting so much hate down at eighteen eighteen and running back in projections I am at thirteen” the article →
- CeeDee LambWR1 · WR
70 catches for 904 yards · 7 TD · 9 games · 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards
“With extra time to recover after a Thursday-night game in Week 5, Lamb could be ready to go when the Cowboys face the Packers this week.” the article →
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measure
“they've put one of the league's premier playmakers in a prime position to dominate the game and re-emerge as WR1 in a league loaded with blue-chip pass catchers... he might be primed to claim the crown as the league's top playmaker.” the article →
- Jake FergusonTE1 · TE
19 catches for 136 yards · 4 TD · 8 games · 154th in the NFL in receiving yards
Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (TE12, Overall RK117 | ECR vs. ADP: -8)
“Ferguson's 2026 production could be limited as long as Lamb and Pickens are both healthy, so it's best to consider Ferguson a high-end TE2 in this year's drafts.” the article →
Jake Ferguson to be 1st on the depth chart
“He is Dallas' clear No. 1 TE” the article →
- Quinnen WilliamsSack leader · DT
5 sacks · 20 solo tackles · 9 games · 14th in the NFL in sacks
Quinnen Williams to make team captain
“I think he's got maybe a chance to be a team captain with Dallas.” the article →
Quinnen Williams to win Team MVP (non-QB)
“Cowboys: DT Quinnen Williams.” the article →
- Caleb DownsTackle leader · S
2 sacks · 33 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games · 30th in the NFL in solo tackles
Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“Caleb Downs is going to win Defensive Rookie of the Year” the article →
Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“So I'm going Caleb Downs, and Price is my offensive and defensive rookie of the year.” the article →
Texans
- C.J. StroudStarting QB · QB
2,251 passing yards · 16 TD, 2 INT · 64.2% completions · 100 rushing yards · 8 games · 7th in the NFL in passing yards
C.J. Stroud: “if he continues his strong play, the Texans will be forced to pay Stroud as one of the highest-paid quarterbacks in the NFL”
“And if the Texans do wind up being forced to pay Stroud as one of the highest-paid quarterbacks in the NFL, they'll be due to pay for it in the form of making some big sacrifices around a talented roster.” the article →
C.J. Stroud: “if he just finishes like this, 65,000,000 a year and the highest paid quarterback”
“if the season ended today and you're doing a CJ Stroud contract, it's fucking 65,000,000 a year... But if he just finishes like this... I don't know how you don't make him the highest paid quarterback based on where he is on his contract.” the article →
- Woody MarksRB1 · RB
341 rushing yards on 95 carries · 2 TD · 15 catches for 98 · 8 games · 28th in the NFL in rushing yards
Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart
“Houston's running back room will once again be held down by Woody Marks as the leader in the backfield, paired with veterans Dare Ogunbowale and Emari Demercado as his primary backups.” the article →
Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart
“So he's going to have this backfield to himself. He not only is going to get a vast majority of the carries while David Montgomery is out” the article →
- Nico CollinsWR1 · WR
28 catches for 384 yards · 4 TD · 6 games · 42nd in the NFL in receiving yards
Nico Collins to be 1st on the depth chart
“Nico Collins is going to remain WR1 as he has for the past three seasons.” the article →
“he played well in Week 1 but wasn't as good on Sunday without Nico Collins, who is expected to miss this Sunday's game against the also-winless Colts (Week 3)” the article →
- Dalton SchultzTE1 · TE
35 catches for 364 yards · 0 TD · 8 games · 47th in the NFL in receiving yards
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
“Consider Schultz a midrange TE2 for fantasy. (listed among late-round tight ends experts love to target)” the article →
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (ADP 25)
“Schultz could flirt with borderline TE1 production again this season with Jayden Higgons lost for the season to a torn ACL.” the article →
- Will Anderson Jr.Sack leader · DE
9.5 sacks · 18 solo tackles · 8 games · 1st in the NFL in sacks
Will Anderson Jr. to stay with Houston Texans
“DE Will Anderson, Texans ... Even if the Texans were considering dealing Anderson (they aren't), his no-trade clause would make that difficult.” the article →
Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year
“Defensive Player of the Year — Mike Kadlick: Will Anderson Jr., edge, Texans” the article →
- Kamari LassiterTackle leader · CB
1 sack · 32 solo tackles · 8 games · 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
Kamari Lassiter to record 1 interceptions
“Kamari Lassiter Comes Alive With 1st INT of Season ... And who better than Kamari Lassiter to capitalize on that opportunity” the article →
Every call on Cowboys at Texans
1–25 of 31
Dallas Cowboys 28 — Houston Texans 27
Bobby Kownack: Dallas Cowboys 28-27
Houston Texans 27 — Dallas Cowboys 23
Dan Parr: Houston Texans 27-23
Dallas Cowboys 25 — Houston Texans 23
Brooke Cersosimo: Dallas Cowboys 25-23
Houston Texans 28 — Dallas Cowboys 17
Gennaro Filice: Houston Texans 28-17
Dallas Cowboys 24 — Houston Texans 20
Jeremy Bergman: Dallas Cowboys 24-20
Dallas Cowboys 24 — Texans 23
Maldonado's pick: Cowboys 24, Texans 23
Dallas Cowboys 23 — Texans 19
Moody's pick: Cowboys 23, Texans 19
Houston Texans 27 — Cowboys 26
Walder's pick: Texans 27, Cowboys 26
Houston Texans 23 — Cowboys 20
PICK: Texans (-2.5) 23-20 over Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 21 — Texans 17
I'm gonna take the cowboys in a low scoring one, really. I'm gonna go twenty one seventeen... Twenty one seventeen cowboys.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans
Tyler Sullivan has the Cowboys not only covering but winning straight up in a battle of Texas' two teams.
Houston Texans to beat Dallas
And I think this is a great game for C.J. Stroud to find his rhythm, to find it, get it going, and finally get a win for this team.
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
I like the Texans here, but I'm just not willing to to go the extra mile with it. I think that they're gonna win, and I think they're gonna win by, you know, three or four.
Houston Texans 24 — Cowboys 21
Jared Dubin — Texans (-2.5) 24-21 over Cowboys.
Houston Texans 24 — Cowboys 21
Prediction: Texans 24, Cowboys 21
Houston Texans 30 — Cowboys 26
there is one big reason why the Texans will get their first win this season … Prediction: Texans 30, Cowboys 26
Dallas Cowboys to beat Houston Texans
This is a bad vs. bad matchup between the Cowboys' defense and the Texans' offense, but I think I'm going to give the ever so slight edge to Dallas, especially if Houston wideout Nico Collins (hamstring) is out or limited after missing time.
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
We get to Texas this week. Okay, y'all going to lose this week.
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
guarantee you the Texans win this game. And it's nothing against the Cowboys... the football gods aren't going to allow them to be 0-4.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans
The Texans are going to be 0-4. We ain't got nothing to do with all that, bro. We need a win.
Dallas Cowboys 27 — Texans 23
Projected score : Cowboys 27, Texans 23
Houston Texans 24 — Cowboys 18
Pick: Texans 24, Cowboys 18
- Miss · 0NightcapGame Outcome Picks2026 season
Houston Texans to beat Cowboys
Hey, Joe, the Cowboys play Houston? ... And Houston due for a win at some point, Joe. ... Yeah. I can't think of a better team to get it against. ... Guess what? After Sunday, y'all have the same record, one and three.
a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 29, 2026 Dallas Cowboys 31 — Texans 24
Score prediction: Cowboys 31, Texans 24
Houston Texans to beat Dallas Cowboys
Week 4 at Houston Texans: L